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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankWewuzzy
Record (consensus markets)57% (4470–3348, n=7818)46% (555–663, n=1218)44% (7–9, n=16)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$11.2M-$5.5K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #2was PM monthly #481
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)65% (20 of 31 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Elections −7 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%24% of 17 at avg 37¢, ROI −56%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 81% of 57)53% (won 11% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)36% (won 98% of 201)12% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)19% (won 100% of 109)12% (won 50% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankWewuzzy
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $195Yes $261K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $47KNo $12K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $300Yes $14K—