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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (59–65, n=124) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 55% (200–166, n=366) |
| Consensus PnL | -$301K | $822K | $227K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 68% (25 of 37 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 20 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 60% (won 100% of 12) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 35% (won 100% of 7) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $182K | Ciryl Gane $317K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | Vikings $1.8K |