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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2F03D0DA9Bba3Ac384696c7E18CA86b9d46eda8Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL—$1.4M$4.6M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #696PM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (100 of 157 open)71% (67 of 94 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 84¢, ROI +3%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢0%30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 1)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢0%14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up75% (won 100% of 3)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.