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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604googleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (1–1, n=2)43% (3–4, n=7)44% (187–238, n=425)66% (472–241, n=713)
Consensus PnL$4.7K$353K$44K-$144K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #362PM monthly #19PM monthly #45PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position45% (5 of 11 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI −34%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 0% of 1)0%6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢0%19% (won 70% of 10)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢0%76% (won 85% of 41)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 3)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604googleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
W50 Yokohama: Sae Noguchi vs Sara Saito
same side · consensus Sae Noguchi
——Sae Noguchi $10Sae Noguchi $224