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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 95% (310–15, n=325) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | — | $8.4M | $0 |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #362 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 84% (32 of 38 open) | 74% (67 of 90 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 9 at avg 81¢, ROI −19% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 0% of 2) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 86% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $425K | No $350K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | Yes $12K |