PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x143D8058B292de4f11c4f309b156F31b50285FD5-1773035219678BreakTheBankRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (502–616, n=1118)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL—$11.8M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #925PM monthly #1PM monthly #15 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)20% (1 of 5 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=91
Settled positions, side won67% of 3 at avg 40¢, ROI +65%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢33% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2463)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 0% of 1)35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5333)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 1)34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8660)54% (won 52% of 114)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7366)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.