PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x11963E4f3548c5Cbdcce3a62F9fF6b42975efE97-1768163136502formyfamilialinethSisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (109–6, n=115)50% (214–217, n=431)95% (510–28, n=538)
Consensus PnL—-$7.6K$91K$466K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #966was PM monthly #549PM monthly #835PM monthly #167
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position44% (4 of 9 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tennis −6 pts, n=19——
Settled positions, side won—92% of 112 at avg 89¢, ROI 0%63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17%99% of 714 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—0%41% (won 29% of 177)2% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢—0%14% (won 72% of 58)25% (won 98% of 176)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 40% of 10)16% (won 84% of 67)48% (won 99% of 342)
Entries 70¢ and up—91% (won 97% of 102)30% (won 94% of 127)25% (won 100% of 181)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.