PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1111111111wr0ngw4yb3tt0rtradecraftRN1
Record (consensus markets)97% (1131–33, n=1164)95% (1938–95, n=2033)49% (1984–2074, n=4058)49% (7025–7367, n=14392)
Consensus PnL$41K$36.5M$914K$13.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993PM monthly #48PM monthly #271Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position40% (4 of 10 open)82% (14 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +36 pts n=452, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=199, ROI +35%
  • MLB +35 pts n=167, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +7 pts n=1535, ROI +4%
  • NFL +11 pts n=103, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +6 pts n=515, ROI +2%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 896 at avg 64¢, ROI +37%100% of 1652 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%57% of 2295 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 43)1% (won 100% of 24)31% (won 10% of 712)10% (won 49% of 2167)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 175)41% (won 100% of 670)17% (won 46% of 401)22% (won 92% of 4547)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 290)49% (won 100% of 805)18% (won 77% of 421)36% (won 98% of 7502)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 388)9% (won 100% of 153)33% (won 96% of 761)31% (won 100% of 6514)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1111111111wr0ngw4yb3tt0rtradecraftRN1
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang
opposite sides · consensus Tereza Valentova
——Shuai Zhang $7Tereza Valentova $7.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $82No $2.4K
Brest: Pierre Delage vs Niels McDonald
opposite sides · consensus Niels McDonald
——Pierre Delage $5Niels McDonald $32