PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1111111111NiNo9990xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592texaskid
Record (consensus markets)97% (1131–33, n=1164)89% (446–56, n=502)92% (701–62, n=763)65% (352–187, n=539)
Consensus PnL$41K$9.5M$14.4M$6.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #999was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +36 pts n=452, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=199, ROI +35%
  • MLB +35 pts n=167, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic———College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29
Settled positions, side won100% of 896 at avg 64¢, ROI +37%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 43)7% (won 81% of 37)2% (won 100% of 14)1% (won 0% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 175)39% (won 85% of 197)15% (won 97% of 113)26% (won 68% of 148)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 290)49% (won 94% of 244)65% (won 99% of 477)69% (won 78% of 392)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 388)5% (won 96% of 24)17% (won 100% of 127)4% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.