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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)52% (148–135, n=283)
Consensus PnL—$4.8M$14.8M$548
Tracked as—PM monthly #97PM monthly #32 + pinnedwas PM monthly #257
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (112 of 154 open)66% (31 of 47 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—Crypto −6 pts, n=61
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%51% of 168 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)27% (won 4% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 23% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)28% (won 77% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)27% (won 89% of 45)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.