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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00ndb1RN1UnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (993–578, n=1571)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)40% (78–118, n=196)
Consensus PnL—$4.8M$14.8M$312K
Tracked as—PM monthly #96PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #41
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (59 of 82 open)56% (20 of 36 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +14 pts n=26, ROI −2%
  • NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%50% of 197 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2588)19% (won 14% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5673)27% (won 44% of 54)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9163)30% (won 58% of 59)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8536)24% (won 77% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.