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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00boltbisonBreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (14–12, n=26)46% (560–666, n=1226)65% (888–469, n=1357)
Consensus PnL—$20K$11.2M$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #941PM monthly #2PM monthly #146
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (12 of 21 open)74% (35 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—21% (won 100% of 3)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—7% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—36% (won 100% of 5)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00boltbisonBreakTheBankndb1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $642KNo $234K