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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00RN1sainttroplayTheMathGod
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (13363–14875, n=28238)no settled market63% (114–68, n=182)
Consensus PnL—$14.8M—-$42K
Tracked as—PM monthly #24 + pinned—PM monthly #861
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (105 of 168 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic———MLB −11 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 57% of 2538)—2% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5565)—8% (won 47% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 9017)—59% (won 53% of 105)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 100% of 8250)—31% (won 86% of 56)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.