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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (10–9, n=19)96% (13274–612, n=13886)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$5.6M$103K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #938
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (12 of 21 open)no open consensus position82% (9 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=6739, ROI +14%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 6739 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 72% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)9% (won 91% of 621)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)11% (won 97% of 755)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)76% (won 100% of 5124)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677WagerWizard
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $56K—Yes $217