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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankjoseph00677QuantDeLaFugazi
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (549–663, n=1212)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (665–362, n=1027)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$5.6M$111K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #1Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (26 of 39 open)no open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%59% of 1509 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)25% (won 21% of 374)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)23% (won 46% of 344)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 72% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)29% (won 92% of 444)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.