Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankMoneylovermanRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)61% (45–29, n=74)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$247K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #854PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (12 of 22 open)no open consensus position67% (152 of 228 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +4 pts n=201, ROI +2%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 201 at avg 51¢, ROI +2%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 21% of 24)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)30% (won 42% of 60)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)47% (won 63% of 95)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)11% (won 86% of 22)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankMoneylovermanRN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $63K—Yes $20K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.2K—Yes $96