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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00AlanCurtisBreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (209–179, n=388)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL—$22K$7.9M$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #849PM monthly #3PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position86% (24 of 28 open)74% (81 of 110 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—70% of 383 at avg 46¢, ROI 0%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—37% (won 31% of 143)11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 81% of 80)35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 98% of 62)35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 100% of 98)20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00AlanCurtisBreakTheBankndb1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $7Yes $993K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $407KNo $335K