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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465peasantRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (37–38, n=75)no settled market68% (307–142, n=449)
Consensus PnL—-$380K—-$39K
Tracked as—PM monthly #37PM monthly #541PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus position50% (6 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=21——
Settled positions, side won—63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—15% (won 11% of 287)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 50% of 452)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 68% of 546)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 93% of 588)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.