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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677otsosiusa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4536–3318, n=7854)45% (10–12, n=22)44% (4–5, n=9)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M$5.3M$226K
Tracked as—PM monthly #19PM monthly #2PM monthly #187
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (14 of 22 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 4 at avg 55¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1743)6% (won 0% of 1)25% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2080)65% (won 73% of 11)75% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2114)18% (won 67% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.