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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Aurelius7beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4535–3309, n=7844)47% (267–301, n=568)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$8.0M-$7.4K—
Tracked as—PM monthly #14was PM monthly #950—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (17 of 27 open)67% (8 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136Elections −2 pts, n=60—
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%66% of 403 at avg 49¢, ROI +8%—
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1182)16% (won 16% of 64)—
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 39% of 64)—
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2080)62% (won 83% of 249)—
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2114)6% (won 96% of 26)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Aurelius7beachboy4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
—No $172KNo $610—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $52KYes $131—