Consensus PnL $3.6K · win rate 56% (377–298, n=675) · was PM monthly #878 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$3.6K
Record
377W / 298L
Win Rate
56.0%
of 675 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1475
Source
PM monthly #878
Record (90 d)
243/427 · 57%
Trades
93
Markets
749
Volume
$481.0K
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Specialties
661 settled consensus markets · held side won 57% at an average entry of 54¢- Soccer
+23 pts
side won 81% of 21 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +30%
- Esports
+3 pts
side won 55% of 214 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +2%
- NBA
+2 pts
side won 56% of 268 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +3%
Weakest: MLB — held side won 27% of 11 at an average 55¢ entry (−27 pts against the price), ROI −36%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 22% of 18)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 45% of 193)
- 50–70¢: 60%(won 61% of 395)
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 84% of 55)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.