No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #991 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #991
Record (90 d)
739/1047 · 71%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ $675 · now 99¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (65% of 26)
Specialties
1,998 settled consensus markets · held side won 65% at an average entry of 61¢- Esports
+6 pts
side won 67% of 1018 · avg entry 61¢
ROI +7%
- Tennis
+4 pts
side won 66% of 425 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +4%
- Soccer
+12 pts
side won 59% of 54 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +6%
Weakest: MLB — held side won 54% of 139 at an average 54¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI +2%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 15% of 126)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 46% of 459)
- 50–70¢: 37%(won 64% of 749)
- 70¢ and up: 33%(won 90% of 664)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.