Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5
4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Under (67%) · Under at 87¢ · $7K held · ended Oct 25
⚡
Medium
Under
6
Under 67%
$6.5K
$366.37
84.3¢ → 87¢
+3% since entry · 4 traders
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Underavg 84.7¢ | $5.9K | $6.2K | +$334.86 | 55% 42737-35083 (77820) |
HO HomeRunHazard | Underavg 78.6¢ | $181.08 | $187.85 | +$6.77 | 55% 11295-9229 (20524) |
TO torta.tech<$100 | Underavg 73¢ | $85.41 | $95.35 | +$9.94 | 75% 5895-1984 (7879) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Overavg 15.4¢ | $16.02 | $30.12 | +$14.1 | 60% 1146-775 (1921) |
0X 0xe3eeb127d5763a6e4ad597f773f9d9c94d5176<$100 | Underavg 73.9¢ | $4.32 | $4.76 | +$0.44 | 61% 5300-3405 (8705) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Overavg 14¢ | $0.77 | $1.01 | +$0.25 | 63% 22274-13133 (35407) |
RN1Invested
$5,856.54
Value
$6.2K
PnL
+$334.86
Record
55%
42737-35083 (77820)
Invested
$181.08
Value
$187.85
PnL
+$6.77
Record
55%
11295-9229 (20524)
Invested
$85.41
Value
$95.35
PnL
+$9.94
Record
75%
5895-1984 (7879)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$16.02
Value
$30.12
PnL
+$14.1
Record
60%
1146-775 (1921)
Invested
$4.32
Value
$4.76
PnL
+$0.44
Record
61%
5300-3405 (8705)
Invested
$0.77
Value
$1.01
PnL
+$0.25
Record
63%
22274-13133 (35407)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
87.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.