Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
3 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Tampa Bay Rays (75%) · Tampa Bay Rays at 57¢ · $2K held · ended Oct 25
⚡
Medium
Tampa Bay Rays
4
Tampa Bay Rays 75%
2 arb excluded
$2.1K
$154.02
68.2¢ → 57.5¢
-16% since entry · 3 traders
Smart Money Signal
3 of 4 top traders (75%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1ARB<$100 | Milwaukee Brewersavg 20.1¢ | $1.2K | $1.1K | -$113.71 | 55% 42737-35083 (77820) |
| └ Milwaukee Brewers leg | Milwaukee Brewersavg 20.1¢ | $828.87 | $700.67 | -$128.2 | |
| └ Tampa Bay Rays leg | Tampa Bay Raysavg 80.1¢ | $405.93 | $420.43 | +$14.5 | |
JU justaluckydude | Tampa Bay Raysavg 68¢ | $680 | $830 | +$150 | 53% 6109-5458 (11567) |
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100 | Milwaukee Brewersavg 21¢ | $59.4 | $54.18 | -$5.22 | 55% 11295-9229 (20524) |
| └ Milwaukee Brewers leg | Milwaukee Brewersavg 21¢ | $34.12 | $27.62 | -$6.5 | |
| └ Tampa Bay Rays leg | Tampa Bay Raysavg 79¢ | $25.28 | $26.56 | +$1.28 | |
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191<$100 | Tampa Bay Raysavg 72¢ | $36 | $41.5 | +$5.5 | 47% 3521-3952 (7473) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Tampa Bay Raysavg 67¢ | $36.8 | $34.72 | -$2.08 | 54% 13405-11284 (24689) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Milwaukee Brewersavg 11¢ | $1.1 | $1.7 | +$0.6 | 60% 1146-775 (1921) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$1,234.8
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$113.71
Record
55%
42737-35083 (77820)
Both legs:
Invested
$680
Value
$830
PnL
+$150
Record
53%
6109-5458 (11567)
Invested
$59.4
Value
$54.18
PnL
-$5.22
Record
55%
11295-9229 (20524)
Both legs:
Invested
$36
Value
$41.5
PnL
+$5.5
Record
47%
3521-3952 (7473)
Invested
$36.8
Value
$34.72
PnL
-$2.08
Record
54%
13405-11284 (24689)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
$1.7
PnL
+$0.6
Record
60%
1146-775 (1921)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
57.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.