PolyConsensus

Unusual new money

Open markets where wallets that are new to the site hold a big position. New wallets betting big against the crowd. This is not proof that anyone knows anything.

A wallet is flagged when its first trade of $1,000 or more was seen at most 30 days ago, it had at most 10 earlier Polymarket actions, and it holds at least $5.0K on the market. A flagged wallet stays on this page for as long as the market is open and the wallet still holds; it leaves when the market closes or the wallet has sold out. Figures are floors built from the large fills the site saw; P/L is unrealised, at the price shown, and covers every flagged wallet. How it works

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34 of 34 marketsSort: P/L ↑WalletsNewest entrySizeUpdated
MarketWalletsSide · priceTotal inP/LEntered
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics11 against the crowdYes · 4¢$130.0K−$71.6K-55.1%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 1.8¢$53.3K−$51.9K-97.3%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics76 against the crowdYes · 29.5¢both sides flagged24 h: 1 adding (+$30.0K)$258.9K−$35.3K-13.6%first
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics21 against the crowdNo · 29¢both sides flagged$316.2K−$11.4K-3.6%first
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 19¢$19.7K−$4.5K-23.1%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics11 against the crowdYes · 22.5¢$14.1K−$2.7K-19.1%
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics3Yes · 68¢24 h: 1 adding (+$39.2K)$69.8K−$2.6K-3.7%first
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 28.5¢$9.8K−$2.2K-22.4%
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 29.4¢$8.6K−$1.9K-22.3%
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Sports11 against the crowdNo · 78¢24 h: 1 adding (+$59.3K)$59.3K−$1.5K-2.5%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 40.5¢$5.1K−$600-11.8%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics1Yes · 74.5¢$8.1K−$583-7.2%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?Sports1Yes · 67¢24 h: 1 adding (+$13.8K)$16.7K−$443-2.6%
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 10.6¢$117.2K−$352-0.3%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics2Yes · 67.5¢24 h: 1 adding (+$20.0K)$25.0K−$279-1.1%first
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics21 against the crowdNo · 29¢both sides flagged24 h: 1 adding (+$10.0K)$17.7K−$223-1.3%first
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics1Yes · 82¢$9.2K−$160-1.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Other1No · 95¢24 h: 1 adding (+$28.5K)$28.5K$00%
Eagles vs. CommandersSports11 against the crowdEagles · 30¢$13.2K$00%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics1Yes · 84¢$23.0K+$61+0.3%
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Politics1Yes · 65.5¢$11.8K+$162+1.4%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics1Yes · 98.3¢$100.0K+$166+0.2%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics1Yes · 97.4¢$20.0K+$228+1.1%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics1No · 94.5¢$19.0K+$298+1.6%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Other1Yes · 95.2¢$7.0K+$368+5.3%
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Politics1Yes · 76¢24 h: 1 adding (+$20.0K)$20.0K+$720+3.6%
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics22 against the crowdYes · 66¢24 h: 2 adding (+$77.6K)$77.6K+$1.3K+1.7%first
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics2Yes · 81¢$59.0K+$2.8K+4.8%first
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Politics11 against the crowdYes · 25¢24 h: 1 adding (+$40.0K)$40.0K+$3.5K+8.7%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics6Yes · 72¢24 h: 2 adding (+$22.4K)$73.0K+$3.5K+4.8%first
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics22 against the crowdYes · 35.3¢$21.9K+$4.2K+19.3%first
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics10Yes · 95¢24 h: 1 adding (+$50.1K)$380.8K+$8.2K+2.1%first
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics22 against the crowdYes · 19¢$45.3K+$18.7K+41.2%first
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics1818 against the crowdYes · 37¢24 h: 1 adding (+$15.6K)$212.9K+$44.8K+21%first

Not financial advice. Data for bots: GET /api/v1/new-money (API docs).