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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Up 80%

Total Value

$234.89

Combined PnL

-$966.7

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 15 top traders (80%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders

Total Value$234.89

Total Shares235

Combined PnL+$13.08

Up12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,802

Combined PnL-$979.78

Down — 20%Up — 80%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 50.7¢	$134.23	$142.37	+$8.14	48% 6746-7394 (14140)
PL ply-pm2CTR	Upavg 49¢	$281	—	-$281	51% 10690-10141 (20831)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 49.7¢	$63.78	$70.79	+$7.01	56% 8907-6974 (15881)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 47.4¢	$45.91	—	-$45.91	51% 12246-11736 (23982)
MayorMamdaniCTR	Upavg 63.2¢	$246.33	—	-$246.33	55% 51661-42835 (94496)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 79.8¢	$24.11	$21.74	-$2.06	65% 130470-70278 (200748)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 43.2¢	$21.75	—	-$21.75	49% 81117-84565 (165682)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 42.7¢	$4.27	—	-$4.27	56% 60679-47194 (107873)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 78.2¢	$6.83	—	-$6.83	66% 130798-67676 (198474)
pspspsps5CTR	Upavg 46.2¢	$206.28	—	-$206.28	45% 40240-48232 (88472)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 28.2¢	$14.53	—	-$14.53	65% 114714-61743 (176457)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 52.1¢	$7.63	—	-$7.63	61% 98748-62704 (161452)
AL almachCTR<$100	Upavg 48.5¢	$48.5	—	-$48.5	55% 50268-41869 (92137)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Upavg 48.5¢	$48.5	—	-$48.5	55% 51720-42173 (93893)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Upavg 48.3¢	$48.25	—	-$48.25	55% 52367-42838 (95205)

Invested

$134.23

Value

$142.37

PnL

+$8.14

Record

48%

6746-7394 (14140)

Invested

$281

Value

—

PnL

-$281

Record

51%

10690-10141 (20831)

Invested

$63.78

Value

$70.79

PnL

+$7.01

Record

56%

8907-6974 (15881)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$45.91

Value

—

PnL

-$45.91

Record

51%

12246-11736 (23982)

MayorMamdaniCTR

Invested

$246.33

Value

—

PnL

-$246.33

Record

55%

51661-42835 (94496)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$24.11

Value

$21.74

PnL

-$2.06

Record

65%

130470-70278 (200748)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$21.75

Value

—

PnL

-$21.75

Record

49%

81117-84565 (165682)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$4.27

Value

—

PnL

-$4.27

Record

56%

60679-47194 (107873)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$6.83

Value

—

PnL

-$6.83

Record

66%

130798-67676 (198474)

Invested

$206.28

Value

—

PnL

-$206.28

Record

45%

40240-48232 (88472)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$14.53

Value

—

PnL

-$14.53

Record

65%

114714-61743 (176457)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$7.63

Value

—

PnL

-$7.63

Record

61%

98748-62704 (161452)

Invested

$48.5

Value

—

PnL

-$48.5

Record

55%

50268-41869 (92137)

Invested

$48.5

Value

—

PnL

-$48.5

Record

55%

51720-42173 (93893)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$48.25

Value

—

PnL

-$48.25

Record

55%

52367-42838 (95205)

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 15 top traders (80%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x03d8c333...a04c07

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794044100

Traders in this Market

asdcaxz

Down — $142.37

ply-pm2

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $70.79

blue.birds

Up — $0

MayorMamdani

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $21.74

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

asdaefef

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $0

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