Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 67%
$194.35
-$938.04
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds | Upavg 50¢ | $100.9 | $112.75 | +$11.84 | 51% 12246-11736 (23982) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Downavg 63.7¢ | $115.4 | — | -$115.4 | 48% 6746-7394 (14140) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 56.4¢ | $76 | $67.9 | -$8.1 | 56% 8907-6974 (15881) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 56.8¢ | $330.33 | — | -$330.33 | 51% 10690-10141 (20831) |
 pspspsps5CTR | Downavg 61.4¢ | $247.5 | — | -$247.5 | 45% 40240-48232 (88472) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 38.6¢ | $9.36 | $13.7 | +$4.34 | 65% 130470-70278 (200748) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 63.3¢ | $21.96 | — | -$21.96 | 65% 114714-61743 (176457) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR | Downavg 71.4¢ | $193.17 | — | -$193.17 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 74.1¢ | $37.76 | — | -$37.76 | 49% 81117-84565 (165682) |
Invested
$100.9
Value
$112.75
PnL
+$11.84
Record
51%
12246-11736 (23982)
Invested
$115.4
Value
—
PnL
-$115.4
Record
48%
6746-7394 (14140)
Invested
$76
Value
$67.9
PnL
-$8.1
Record
56%
8907-6974 (15881)
Invested
$330.33
Value
—
PnL
-$330.33
Record
51%
10690-10141 (20831)
pspspsps5CTRInvested
$247.5
Value
—
PnL
-$247.5
Record
45%
40240-48232 (88472)
Invested
$9.36
Value
$13.7
PnL
+$4.34
Record
65%
130470-70278 (200748)
Invested
$21.96
Value
—
PnL
-$21.96
Record
65%
114714-61743 (176457)
MayorMamdaniCTRInvested
$193.17
Value
—
PnL
-$193.17
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$37.76
Value
—
PnL
-$37.76
Record
49%
81117-84565 (165682)