Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Trail Blazers — but Kings won instead.
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)
Resolved Kings. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Trail Blazers. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
15
Trail Blazers 60%
$1.5K
$-1.1K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Kingsavg 65¢ | $657.09 | $1.0K | +$352.58 | 55% 1469-1221 (2690) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Trail Blazersavg 35¢ | $685.47 | — | -$685.47 | 49% 3640-3753 (7393) |
 RN1 | Kingsavg 66¢ | $179.52 | $272 | +$92.48 | 56% 5169-4141 (9310) |
TA takeormakeCTR | Trail Blazersavg 38.3¢ | $427.35 | — | -$427.35 | 57% 3492-2606 (6098) |
0X 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465<$100 | Kingsavg 99.9¢ | $87.91 | $88 | +$0.09 | 51% 3849-3640 (7489) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Kingsavg 73¢ | $36.5 | $50 | +$13.5 | 53% 6922-6099 (13021) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Kingsavg 71¢ | $31.24 | $44 | +$12.76 | 44% 749-938 (1687) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Trail Blazersavg 33.8¢ | $53.37 | — | -$53.37 | 46% 470-556 (1026) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Trail Blazersavg 43.3¢ | $50.8 | — | -$50.8 | 37% 909-1532 (2441) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Trail Blazersavg 48.4¢ | $220.66 | — | -$196.96 | 48% 3052-3353 (6405) |
65 6512395314597884<$100 | Kingsavg 64¢ | $3.2 | $5 | +$1.8 | 50% 3738-3712 (7450) |
MI micky456CTR<$100 | Trail Blazersavg 50¢ | $88.5 | — | -$88.5 | 48% 550-607 (1157) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100 | Trail Blazersavg 33¢ | $33 | — | -$33 | 56% 4036-3150 (7186) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Trail Blazersavg 54¢ | $23.76 | — | -$23.76 | 49% 1449-1486 (2935) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Trail Blazersavg 36¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 48% 1953-2074 (4027) |
Invested
$657.09
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$352.58
Record
55%
1469-1221 (2690)
Invested
$685.47
Value
—
PnL
-$685.47
Record
49%
3640-3753 (7393)
RN1Invested
$179.52
Value
$272
PnL
+$92.48
Record
56%
5169-4141 (9310)
Invested
$427.35
Value
—
PnL
-$427.35
Record
57%
3492-2606 (6098)
Invested
$87.91
Value
$88
PnL
+$0.09
Record
51%
3849-3640 (7489)
Invested
$36.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$13.5
Record
53%
6922-6099 (13021)
Invested
$31.24
Value
$44
PnL
+$12.76
Record
44%
749-938 (1687)
Invested
$53.37
Value
—
PnL
-$53.37
Record
46%
470-556 (1026)
Invested
$50.8
Value
—
PnL
-$50.8
Record
37%
909-1532 (2441)
Invested
$220.66
Value
—
PnL
-$196.96
Record
48%
3052-3353 (6405)
Invested
$3.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.8
Record
50%
3738-3712 (7450)
Invested
$88.5
Value
—
PnL
-$88.5
Record
48%
550-607 (1157)
Invested
$33
Value
—
PnL
-$33
Record
56%
4036-3150 (7186)
Invested
$23.76
Value
—
PnL
-$23.76
Record
49%
1449-1486 (2935)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
48%
1953-2074 (4027)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Kings — $1.0K
Flaznorp
CTRTrail Blazers — $0
RN1
Kings — $272
takeormake
CTRTrail Blazers — $0
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
Kings — $88
cigarettes
Kings — $50
lryyy
Kings — $44
justaluckydude
CTRTrail Blazers — $0
topdogbigboi
CTRTrail Blazers — $0
38791873984189
CTRTrail Blazers — $0