Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Pistons — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Pistons
Spread: Heat (-21.5)
Resolved Pistons. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Pistons. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Pistons 56%
1 arb excluded
$3.1K
$143.02
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Pistonsavg 90.8¢ | $1.4K | $1.2K | -$161.49 | 48% 4388-4660 (9048) |
| └ Pistons leg | Pistonsavg 90.8¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$112 | |
| └ Heat leg | Heatavg 13.4¢ | $273.49 | — | -$273.49 | |
TA takeormake | Pistonsavg 78.4¢ | $745.34 | $895.97 | +$150.64 | 57% 3612-2700 (6312) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Pistonsavg 92.9¢ | $1.7K | $702.23 | +$11.31 | 55% 1818-1517 (3335) |
PA Pan9X | Pistonsavg 85.6¢ | $95 | $111 | +$16 | 50% 1931-1953 (3884) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Pistonsavg 86.3¢ | $75.94 | $88 | +$12.06 | 45% 900-1082 (1982) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Pistonsavg 95.1¢ | $76.08 | $80 | +$3.92 | 48% 3662-4031 (7693) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Heatavg 7.6¢ | $28.04 | — | -$28.04 | 58% 3808-2767 (6575) |
MI micky456CTR<$100 | Heatavg 4¢ | $13.41 | — | -$13.41 | 47% 602-678 (1280) |
 dips.CTR<$100 | Heatavg 4¢ | $5.95 | — | -$5.95 | 48% 1176-1281 (2457) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Heatavg 7¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 48% 2369-2583 (4952) |
Invested
$1,381.49
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$161.49
Record
48%
4388-4660 (9048)
Both legs:
Invested
$745.34
Value
$895.97
PnL
+$150.64
Record
57%
3612-2700 (6312)
Invested
$1,721.04
Value
$702.23
PnL
+$11.31
Record
55%
1818-1517 (3335)
Invested
$95
Value
$111
PnL
+$16
Record
50%
1931-1953 (3884)
Invested
$75.94
Value
$88
PnL
+$12.06
Record
45%
900-1082 (1982)
Invested
$76.08
Value
$80
PnL
+$3.92
Record
48%
3662-4031 (7693)
Invested
$28.04
Value
—
PnL
-$28.04
Record
58%
3808-2767 (6575)
Invested
$13.41
Value
—
PnL
-$13.41
Record
47%
602-678 (1280)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$5.95
Value
—
PnL
-$5.95
Record
48%
1176-1281 (2457)
Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
48%
2369-2583 (4952)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
takeormake
Pistons — $895.97
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Pistons — $702.23
Pan9X
Pistons — $111
lryyy
Pistons — $88
38791873984189
Pistons — $80
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRHeat — $0
micky456
CTRHeat — $0
dips.
CTRHeat — $0
ferdinand2
CTRHeat — $0