Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 208.5
Resolved Over. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Over 68%
3 arb excluded
$9.3K
$556.05
Smart Money Signal
13 of 19 top traders (68%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Overavg 66.1¢ | $3.1K | $3.1K | -$27.54 | 53% 218-191 (409) |
 RN1 | Overavg 65.6¢ | $1.5K | $1.8K | +$245.2 | 51% 289-274 (563) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 34.5¢ | $960.66 | $669.28 | -$425.23 | 51% 507-483 (990) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 57.2¢ | $382.86 | $669.28 | +$152.56 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 34.5¢ | $577.79 | — | -$577.79 | |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Overavg 48¢ | $613.89 | $1.3K | +$481.59 | 28% 122-309 (431) |
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 54¢ | $609.3 | $732.57 | +$127.22 | 48% 436-463 (899) |
65 6512395314597884 | Overavg 58.9¢ | $714.92 | $689.09 | -$25.83 | 42% 132-179 (311) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Overavg 86¢ | $164.26 | $191 | +$26.74 | 59% 1209-854 (2063) |
 dips. | Overavg 86¢ | $164.26 | $191 | +$26.74 | 44% 125-158 (283) |
SU suitcase6628 | Overavg 86¢ | $163.4 | $190 | +$26.6 | 62% 79-49 (128) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Overavg 58¢ | $152.01 | $262.09 | +$98.28 | 34% 111-220 (331) |
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375ARB<$100 | Overavg 48¢ | $86.26 | $115.38 | +$20.47 | 57% 104-80 (184) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 48¢ | $55.38 | $115.38 | +$51.35 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 25¢ | $30.87 | — | -$30.87 | |
PA Pan9XARB<$100 | Underavg 41.3¢ | $117.7 | $94 | +$28.15 | 49% 194-203 (397) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 31.2¢ | $29.29 | $94 | +$70.94 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 41.3¢ | $40.43 | — | -$42.79 | |
TA takeormake<$100 | Overavg 46¢ | $40.57 | $88.19 | +$47.62 | 22% 85-296 (381) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Overavg 54.1¢ | $8.93 | $16.49 | +$7.56 | 56% 139-108 (247) |
AN Anon455<$100 | Overavg 85¢ | $5.67 | $6.67 | +$1 | 47% 87-97 (184) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 47.1¢ | $340.99 | — | -$340.99 | 28% 131-332 (463) |
JU justaluckydude<$100 | Overavg 59¢ | $2.95 | $5 | +$2.05 | 26% 55-158 (213) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Underavg 40¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 46% 178-209 (387) |
LI LimousinCTR | Underavg 43.9¢ | $122.1 | — | -$122.1 | 26% 127-364 (491) |
0X 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CTR<$100 | Underavg 46¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 48% 1950-2154 (4104) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 39.9¢ | $9.12 | — | -$9.12 | 26% 122-345 (467) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Underavg 18¢ | $3.96 | — | -$3.96 | 55% 78-63 (141) |
Invested
$3,088.33
Value
$3.1K
PnL
-$27.54
Record
53%
218-191 (409)
RN1Invested
$1,524.08
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$245.2
Record
51%
289-274 (563)
Invested
$960.66
Value
$669.28
PnL
-$425.23
Record
51%
507-483 (990)
Both legs:
Invested
$613.89
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$481.59
Record
28%
122-309 (431)
Invested
$609.3
Value
$732.57
PnL
+$127.22
Record
48%
436-463 (899)
Invested
$714.92
Value
$689.09
PnL
-$25.83
Record
42%
132-179 (311)
Invested
$164.26
Value
$191
PnL
+$26.74
Record
59%
1209-854 (2063)
dips.Invested
$164.26
Value
$191
PnL
+$26.74
Record
44%
125-158 (283)
Invested
$163.4
Value
$190
PnL
+$26.6
Record
62%
79-49 (128)
Invested
$152.01
Value
$262.09
PnL
+$98.28
Record
34%
111-220 (331)
Invested
$86.26
Value
$115.38
PnL
+$20.47
Record
57%
104-80 (184)
Both legs:
Invested
$117.7
Value
$94
PnL
+$28.15
Record
49%
194-203 (397)
Both legs:
Invested
$40.57
Value
$88.19
PnL
+$47.62
Record
22%
85-296 (381)
Invested
$8.93
Value
$16.49
PnL
+$7.56
Record
56%
139-108 (247)
Invested
$5.67
Value
$6.67
PnL
+$1
Record
47%
87-97 (184)
Invested
$340.99
Value
—
PnL
-$340.99
Record
28%
131-332 (463)
Invested
$2.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.05
Record
26%
55-158 (213)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
46%
178-209 (387)
Invested
$122.1
Value
—
PnL
-$122.1
Record
26%
127-364 (491)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
48%
1950-2154 (4104)
Invested
$9.12
Value
—
PnL
-$9.12
Record
26%
122-345 (467)
Invested
$3.96
Value
—
PnL
-$3.96
Record
55%
78-63 (141)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Over — $3.1K
RN1
Over — $1.8K
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Over — $1.3K
38791873984189
Over — $732.57
6512395314597884
Over — $689.09
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Over — $191
dips.
Over — $191
suitcase6628
Over — $190
omnibus-076daa
Over — $262.09