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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 69%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$768.07

Combined PnL

$18.95

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 13 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders
Total Value$560.05
Total Shares560
Combined PnL+$78.11
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares113
Combined PnL-$59.15
Up — 69%Down — 31%
pspspsps5ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$192.66

Value

$208.02

PnL

+$15.36

Record

45%

40240-48232 (88472)

Both legs:

Up$97.7147¢+$110.31
Down$94.9549¢-$94.95
AS
asdcaxz
Up

Invested

$164.58

Value

$169.97

PnL

+$5.39

Record

48%

6746-7394 (14140)

PL
ply-pm2
Up

Invested

$111.53

Value

$124.98

PnL

+$13.46

Record

51%

10690-10141 (20831)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$66.46

Value

$88.93

PnL

+$22.47

Record

51%

12246-11736 (23982)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$83.87

Value

$78.74

PnL

-$5.14

Record

55%

51661-42835 (94496)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$25.57

Value

$50.73

PnL

+$25.16

Record

49%

81117-84565 (165682)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23

Value

—

PnL

-$23

Record

58%

39867-28830 (68697)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$14.27

Value

—

PnL

-$14.27

Record

65%

114714-61743 (176457)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.01

Value

—

PnL

-$11.01

Record

61%

46204-29379 (75583)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.87

Value

—

PnL

-$10.87

Record

63%

42543-25276 (67819)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$9.82

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.39

Record

65%

130470-70278 (200748)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$8.39

Value

$20

PnL

+$11.61

Record

56%

60679-47194 (107873)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$7.15

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.85

Record

66%

130798-67676 (198474)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$4.79

Value

$6.7

PnL

+$1.91

Record

61%

98748-62704 (161452)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xcf96b08c...5b136b
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794045300

Traders in this Market

pspspsps5

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$15.36
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $169.97

+$5.39
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $124.98

+$13.46
BL

blue.birds

Up — $88.93

+$22.47

MayorMamdani

Up — $78.74

-$5.14

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $50.73

+$25.16
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$23
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$14.27

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.01

ohioism

CTR

Down — $0

-$10.87
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