Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 90%
2 arb excluded
$2.3K
$9.82
Smart Money Signal
18 of 20 top traders (90%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 78.7¢ | $606.03 | $572.94 | -$33.1 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.7¢ | $532.12 | $538.91 | +$6.79 | 89% 29358-3557 (32915) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Upavg 75.8¢ | $257.51 | $282.79 | +$25.28 | 47% 6557-7261 (13818) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 75.8¢ | $214.41 | $282.79 | +$68.38 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 21.2¢ | $43.1 | — | -$43.1 | |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 71.7¢ | $207.4 | $221.3 | +$13.9 | 56% 77408-59804 (137212) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 71.7¢ | $158.67 | $221.3 | +$62.63 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 15.5¢ | $48.73 | — | -$48.73 | |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 69.4¢ | $195.15 | $201.95 | +$6.81 | 46% 40118-48047 (88165) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 87.6¢ | $143.45 | $143 | -$0.45 | 55% 51661-42834 (94495) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 69¢ | $92.48 | $100.46 | +$7.99 | 51% 12098-11574 (23672) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $44.49 | $50.6 | +$6.11 | 49% 80989-84429 (165418) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $20.79 | $20 | -$0.79 | 61% 46098-29272 (75370) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 51.4¢ | $19.42 | $20 | +$0.58 | 56% 60559-47106 (107665) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 84.9¢ | $20.78 | $21.33 | +$0.55 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $17.29 | $19 | +$1.71 | 55% 52350-42822 (95172) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $17.29 | $19 | +$1.71 | 55% 50160-41769 (91929) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 53.7¢ | $13.07 | $18.57 | +$5.5 | 65% 114590-61630 (176220) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 67.7¢ | $14.77 | $14.39 | -$0.38 | 61% 98614-62609 (161223) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $11.97 | $13.3 | +$1.33 | 55% 51695-42149 (93844) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 95.5¢ | $9.55 | $10 | +$0.45 | 48% 10610-11273 (21883) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $9.24 | $18.21 | +$8.97 | 52% 12334-11372 (23706) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.6¢ | $7.11 | — | -$7.11 | 63% 42447-25170 (67617) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $3.62 | $8.62 | +$5 | 54% 10473-8828 (19301) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $2.49 | $5 | +$2.51 | 30% 12179-28146 (40325) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.2¢ | $4.36 | — | -$4.36 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
Invested
$606.03
Value
$572.94
PnL
-$33.1
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
Invested
$532.12
Value
$538.91
PnL
+$6.79
Record
89%
29358-3557 (32915)
Invested
$257.51
Value
$282.79
PnL
+$25.28
Record
47%
6557-7261 (13818)
Both legs:
Invested
$207.4
Value
$221.3
PnL
+$13.9
Record
56%
77408-59804 (137212)
Both legs:
pspspsps5Invested
$195.15
Value
$201.95
PnL
+$6.81
Record
46%
40118-48047 (88165)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$143.45
Value
$143
PnL
-$0.45
Record
55%
51661-42834 (94495)
Invested
$92.48
Value
$100.46
PnL
+$7.99
Record
51%
12098-11574 (23672)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$44.49
Value
$50.6
PnL
+$6.11
Record
49%
80989-84429 (165418)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$20.79
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.79
Record
61%
46098-29272 (75370)
Invested
$19.42
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.58
Record
56%
60559-47106 (107665)
Invested
$20.78
Value
$21.33
PnL
+$0.55
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)
Invested
$17.29
Value
$19
PnL
+$1.71
Record
55%
52350-42822 (95172)
Invested
$17.29
Value
$19
PnL
+$1.71
Record
55%
50160-41769 (91929)
Invested
$13.07
Value
$18.57
PnL
+$5.5
Record
65%
114590-61630 (176220)
Invested
$14.77
Value
$14.39
PnL
-$0.38
Record
61%
98614-62609 (161223)
Invested
$11.97
Value
$13.3
PnL
+$1.33
Record
55%
51695-42149 (93844)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$9.55
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.45
Record
48%
10610-11273 (21883)
Invested
$9.24
Value
$18.21
PnL
+$8.97
Record
52%
12334-11372 (23706)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$7.11
Value
—
PnL
-$7.11
Record
63%
42447-25170 (67617)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$3.62
Value
$8.62
PnL
+$5
Record
54%
10473-8828 (19301)
Invested
$2.49
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.51
Record
30%
12179-28146 (40325)
Invested
$4.36
Value
—
PnL
-$4.36
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Up — $572.94
hoodquant
Up — $538.91
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
Up — $201.95
MayorMamdani
Up — $143
blue.birds
Up — $100.46
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $50.6
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $20
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $20