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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$727.09

Combined PnL

-$38.61

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$308

Total Shares308

Combined PnL+$32.59

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares72

Combined PnL-$71.2

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
pspspsps5ARB<$100	Downavg 67.5¢	$322.16	$203.03	-$119.14	45% 40136-48079 (88215)
└ Down leg	Downavg 67.5¢	$174.19	—	-$174.19
└ Up leg	Upavg 72.9¢	$147.97	$203.03	+$55.05
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 34.5¢	$148.32	$216.06	+$67.74	48% 6593-7284 (13877)
└ Up leg	Upavg 34.5¢	$74.61	$216.06	+$141.46
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$73.71	—	-$73.71
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 70.2¢	$165.64	$169.53	+$3.88	51% 10575-10032 (20607)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 67.4¢	$62.6	—	-$62.6	49% 81012-84457 (165469)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 33.1¢	$27.65	$50.52	+$22.87	51% 12116-11612 (23728)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 96¢	$29.76	$31	+$1.24	55% 51661-42834 (94495)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 85.8¢	$25.48	$24.75	-$0.73	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 98.1¢	$19.32	$17	-$2.32	61% 98632-62636 (161268)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 43¢	$8.59	—	-$8.59	63% 42458-25196 (67654)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 37.6¢	$3.84	$10.2	+$6.36	61% 46115-29290 (75405)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 74.4¢	$3.72	$5	+$1.28	65% 130321-70183 (200504)

pspspsps5ARB<$100

Invested

$322.16

Value

$203.03

PnL

-$119.14

Record

45%

40136-48079 (88215)

Both legs:

Down$174.1967.5¢-$174.19

Up$147.9772.9¢+$55.05

asdcaxzARB<$100

Invested

$148.32

Value

$216.06

PnL

+$67.74

Record

48%

6593-7284 (13877)

Both legs:

Up$74.6134.5¢+$141.46

Down$73.7150¢-$73.71

Invested

$165.64

Value

$169.53

PnL

+$3.88

Record

51%

10575-10032 (20607)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$62.6

Value

—

PnL

-$62.6

Record

49%

81012-84457 (165469)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$27.65

Value

$50.52

PnL

+$22.87

Record

51%

12116-11612 (23728)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$29.76

Value

$31

PnL

+$1.24

Record

55%

51661-42834 (94495)

Invested

$25.48

Value

$24.75

PnL

-$0.73

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$19.32

Value

$17

PnL

-$2.32

Record

61%

98632-62636 (161268)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$8.59

Value

—

PnL

-$8.59

Record

63%

42458-25196 (67654)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$3.84

Value

$10.2

PnL

+$6.36

Record

61%

46115-29290 (75405)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.72

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.28

Record

65%

130321-70183 (200504)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc771e7b0...1cddab

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794016500

Traders in this Market

pspspsps5

Arbitrage — excluded

asdcaxz

Arbitrage — excluded

ply-pm2

Up — $169.53

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

blue.birds

Up — $50.52

MayorMamdani

Up — $31

asdaefef

Up — $24.75

asidjasiodja

Up — $17

ohioism

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $10.2

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