Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Up 92%
1 arb excluded
$701.65
$50.24
Smart Money Signal
11 of 12 top traders (92%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() pspspsps5 | Upavg 81.8¢ | $205.39 | $251.21 | +$45.82 | 46% 40118-48047 (88165) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Upavg 71.9¢ | $62.31 | $54.36 | -$7.95 | 47% 6557-7261 (13818) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 18.7¢ | $23.23 | — | -$23.23 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 71.9¢ | $39.08 | $54.36 | +$15.28 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 73.2¢ | $95.84 | $85.81 | -$10.03 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 87.5¢ | $85.61 | $77.73 | -$7.88 | 55% 51661-42834 (94495) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 70.5¢ | $51.07 | $65.94 | +$14.87 | 51% 12098-11574 (23672) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 97.2¢ | $48.6 | $50 | +$1.4 | 61% 46098-29272 (75370) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 83.4¢ | $41.97 | $50.31 | +$8.34 | 49% 80989-84429 (165418) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $18.13 | $18.5 | +$0.37 | 89% 29358-3557 (32915) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 82.8¢ | $17.66 | $19.95 | +$2.29 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 88.9¢ | $14.29 | $16.08 | +$1.79 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 97.2¢ | $8.64 | $7.07 | -$1.56 | 61% 98614-62609 (161223) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.2¢ | $5.43 | — | -$5.43 | 58% 63311-46525 (109836) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 94.4¢ | $4.42 | $4.68 | +$0.26 | 56% 60559-47106 (107665) |
pspspsps5Invested
$205.39
Value
$251.21
PnL
+$45.82
Record
46%
40118-48047 (88165)
Invested
$62.31
Value
$54.36
PnL
-$7.95
Record
47%
6557-7261 (13818)
Both legs:
Invested
$95.84
Value
$85.81
PnL
-$10.03
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$85.61
Value
$77.73
PnL
-$7.88
Record
55%
51661-42834 (94495)
Invested
$51.07
Value
$65.94
PnL
+$14.87
Record
51%
12098-11574 (23672)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$48.6
Value
$50
PnL
+$1.4
Record
61%
46098-29272 (75370)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$41.97
Value
$50.31
PnL
+$8.34
Record
49%
80989-84429 (165418)
Invested
$18.13
Value
$18.5
PnL
+$0.37
Record
89%
29358-3557 (32915)
Invested
$17.66
Value
$19.95
PnL
+$2.29
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)
Invested
$14.29
Value
$16.08
PnL
+$1.79
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
Invested
$8.64
Value
$7.07
PnL
-$1.56
Record
61%
98614-62609 (161223)
Invested
$5.43
Value
—
PnL
-$5.43
Record
58%
63311-46525 (109836)
Invested
$4.42
Value
$4.68
PnL
+$0.26
Record
56%
60559-47106 (107665)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

pspspsps5
Up — $251.21
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Up — $85.81

MayorMamdani
Up — $77.73
blue.birds
Up — $65.94

G-Penis-Monster
Up — $50

OhioRiskManagement
Up — $50.31
hoodquant
Up — $18.5
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $19.95
asdaefef
Up — $16.08