Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$501.7
-$11.1
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 62.6¢ | $159.04 | $159.66 | +$0.61 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 77.2¢ | $122.08 | $143.13 | +$21.05 | 47% 6557-7261 (13818) |
 pspspsps5ARB<$100 | Downavg 69.1¢ | $87.22 | $74.36 | -$12.87 | 46% 40118-48047 (88165) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 69.1¢ | $51.41 | $74.36 | +$22.94 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 27¢ | $35.81 | — | -$35.81 | |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85.5¢ | $53.68 | $55 | +$1.32 | 55% 51661-42834 (94495) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $45.12 | $49.56 | +$4.44 | 61% 46098-29272 (75370) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.7¢ | $33.21 | — | -$33.21 | 51% 12098-11574 (23672) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $13.65 | $15 | +$1.35 | 56% 77408-59804 (137212) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 77.3¢ | $3.86 | $5 | +$1.14 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.8¢ | $3.86 | — | -$3.86 | 61% 98614-62609 (161223) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.3¢ | $3.94 | — | -$3.94 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
Invested
$159.04
Value
$159.66
PnL
+$0.61
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
Invested
$122.08
Value
$143.13
PnL
+$21.05
Record
47%
6557-7261 (13818)
pspspsps5ARB<$100Invested
$87.22
Value
$74.36
PnL
-$12.87
Record
46%
40118-48047 (88165)
Both legs:
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$53.68
Value
$55
PnL
+$1.32
Record
55%
51661-42834 (94495)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$45.12
Value
$49.56
PnL
+$4.44
Record
61%
46098-29272 (75370)
Invested
$33.21
Value
—
PnL
-$33.21
Record
51%
12098-11574 (23672)
Invested
$13.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.35
Record
56%
77408-59804 (137212)
Invested
$3.86
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.14
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)
Invested
$3.86
Value
—
PnL
-$3.86
Record
61%
98614-62609 (161223)
Invested
$3.94
Value
—
PnL
-$3.94
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $159.66
asdcaxz
Down — $143.13
pspspsps5
ARBArbitrage — excluded
MayorMamdani
Down — $55
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $49.56
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $15
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $5
asidjasiodja
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
CTRUp — $0