Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 89%
$771.17
$51.53
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 73.8¢ | $232.79 | $259.09 | +$26.3 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 81.7¢ | $220.42 | $254.9 | +$34.48 | 56% 77408-59804 (137212) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 88.9¢ | $153.66 | $152.15 | -$1.51 | 46% 40118-48047 (88165) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $62.41 | $59.16 | -$3.25 | 47% 6557-7261 (13818) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90.6¢ | $21.55 | $23.78 | +$2.23 | 61% 98614-62609 (161223) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.2¢ | $9.07 | — | -$9.07 | 51% 12098-11574 (23672) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $9.92 | $12.02 | +$2.1 | 55% 51661-42834 (94495) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $4.96 | $5 | +$0.04 | 49% 80989-84429 (165418) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $4.87 | $5.07 | +$0.2 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
Invested
$232.79
Value
$259.09
PnL
+$26.3
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
Invested
$220.42
Value
$254.9
PnL
+$34.48
Record
56%
77408-59804 (137212)
pspspsps5Invested
$153.66
Value
$152.15
PnL
-$1.51
Record
46%
40118-48047 (88165)
Invested
$62.41
Value
$59.16
PnL
-$3.25
Record
47%
6557-7261 (13818)
Invested
$21.55
Value
$23.78
PnL
+$2.23
Record
61%
98614-62609 (161223)
Invested
$9.07
Value
—
PnL
-$9.07
Record
51%
12098-11574 (23672)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9.92
Value
$12.02
PnL
+$2.1
Record
55%
51661-42834 (94495)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.96
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.04
Record
49%
80989-84429 (165418)
Invested
$4.87
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$0.2
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)