Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 64%
$634.47
-$146.49
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 79.1¢ | $205.16 | $259.21 | +$54.05 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 58.2¢ | $187.24 | $208.8 | +$21.56 | 47% 6557-7261 (13818) |
 pspspsps5CTR | Upavg 59.1¢ | $150.88 | — | -$150.88 | 46% 40118-48047 (88165) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $60.03 | $36 | -$24.03 | 55% 51661-42834 (94495) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 56.8¢ | $30 | $33.78 | +$3.78 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $25.74 | — | -$25.74 | 49% 80989-84429 (165418) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94.3¢ | $46.36 | $38.61 | -$7.75 | 61% 98614-62609 (161223) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.7¢ | $25.75 | — | -$25.75 | 63% 60874-35322 (96196) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 39.6¢ | $7.93 | $20 | +$12.07 | 63% 42447-25170 (67617) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91.5¢ | $15.29 | $13.06 | -$2.23 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $17.94 | $20 | +$2.06 | 56% 60559-47106 (107665) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 89% 29358-3557 (32915) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 60.7¢ | $3.7 | — | -$3.7 | 56% 77408-59804 (137212) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.7¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 51% 12098-11574 (23672) |
Invested
$205.16
Value
$259.21
PnL
+$54.05
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
Invested
$187.24
Value
$208.8
PnL
+$21.56
Record
47%
6557-7261 (13818)
pspspsps5CTRInvested
$150.88
Value
—
PnL
-$150.88
Record
46%
40118-48047 (88165)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$60.03
Value
$36
PnL
-$24.03
Record
55%
51661-42834 (94495)
Invested
$30
Value
$33.78
PnL
+$3.78
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$25.74
Value
—
PnL
-$25.74
Record
49%
80989-84429 (165418)
Invested
$46.36
Value
$38.61
PnL
-$7.75
Record
61%
98614-62609 (161223)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$25.75
Value
—
PnL
-$25.75
Record
63%
60874-35322 (96196)
ohioism<$100Invested
$7.93
Value
$20
PnL
+$12.07
Record
63%
42447-25170 (67617)
Invested
$15.29
Value
$13.06
PnL
-$2.23
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)
Invested
$17.94
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.06
Record
56%
60559-47106 (107665)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
89%
29358-3557 (32915)
Invested
$3.7
Value
—
PnL
-$3.7
Record
56%
77408-59804 (137212)
Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
51%
12098-11574 (23672)