Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Up 82%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$654.35

Combined PnL

$40.31

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 12 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders

Total Value$627.65

Total Shares628

Combined PnL+$49.1

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares26

Combined PnL-$8.78

Up — 83%Down — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 62.3¢	$130.2	$146.16	+$15.96	51% 10526-9985 (20511)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 78.8¢	$101.17	$128.45	+$27.28	55% 51660-42833 (94493)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 77.7¢	$142.44	$119	-$23.44	47% 6525-7238 (13763)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 85.6¢	$104.14	$95	-$9.14	51% 12072-11547 (23619)
pspspsps5ARB<$100	Downavg 22.2¢	$45.06	$26.7	-$18.36	45% 40086-48022 (88108)
└ Up leg	Upavg 57.9¢	$15.45	$26.7	+$11.25
└ Down leg	Downavg 22.2¢	$29.6	—	-$29.6
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 88.7¢	$29.37	$33.1	+$3.73	58% 63285-46506 (109791)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 66.8¢	$33.39	$50	+$16.61	74% 105071-37075 (142146)
OhioAI<$100	Upavg 68.1¢	$20.42	$30	+$9.58	54% 10465-8821 (19286)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 65.6¢	$13.12	$20	+$6.88	56% 77387-59788 (137175)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 45.7¢	$4.12	—	-$4.12	61% 98591-62582 (161173)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 27.8¢	$4.67	—	-$4.67	49% 80962-84399 (165361)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 67.6¢	$3.38	$5	+$1.62	65% 130257-70136 (200393)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$0.93	$0.94	+$0.01	89% 29315-3554 (32869)

Invested

$130.2

Value

$146.16

PnL

+$15.96

Record

51%

10526-9985 (20511)

Invested

$101.17

Value

$128.45

PnL

+$27.28

Record

55%

51660-42833 (94493)

Invested

$142.44

Value

$119

PnL

-$23.44

Record

47%

6525-7238 (13763)

Invested

$104.14

Value

$95

PnL

-$9.14

Record

51%

12072-11547 (23619)

pspspsps5ARB<$100

Invested

$45.06

Value

$26.7

PnL

-$18.36

Record

45%

40086-48022 (88108)

Both legs:

Up$15.4557.9¢+$11.25

Down$29.622.2¢-$29.6

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$29.37

Value

$33.1

PnL

+$3.73

Record

58%

63285-46506 (109791)

Invested

$33.39

Value

$50

PnL

+$16.61

Record

74%

105071-37075 (142146)

Invested

$20.42

Value

$30

PnL

+$9.58

Record

54%

10465-8821 (19286)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$13.12

Value

$20

PnL

+$6.88

Record

56%

77387-59788 (137175)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$4.12

Value

—

PnL

-$4.12

Record

61%

98591-62582 (161173)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$4.67

Value

—

PnL

-$4.67

Record

49%

80962-84399 (165361)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.38

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.62

Record

65%

130257-70136 (200393)

Invested

$0.93

Value

$0.94

PnL

+$0.01

Record

89%

29315-3554 (32869)

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 12 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xc45a8c96...c97b95

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794008700

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $146.16

MayorMamdani

Up — $128.45

asdcaxz

Up — $119

blue.birds

Up — $95

pspspsps5

Arbitrage — excluded

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $33.1

BoneOhio

Up — $50

OhioAI

Up — $30

uninformedfloww

Up — $20

asidjasiodja

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket