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UpUpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$95.43
Combined PnL
-$20.05
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$95.43
Total Shares95
Combined PnL+$15.03
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares177
Combined PnL-$35.08
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 63.9¢ | $42.16 | $51.43 | +$9.27 | 47% 6525-7238 (13763) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 79.2¢ | $24.24 | $30 | +$5.76 | 51% 12072-11547 (23619) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95.3¢ | $14 | $14 | -$0 | 61% 98591-62582 (161173) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.6¢ | $7.93 | — | -$7.93 | 61% 46076-29253 (75329) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.7¢ | $8.11 | — | -$8.11 | 30% 12164-28131 (40295) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 18.6¢ | $18.21 | — | -$18.21 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.8¢ | $0.83 | — | -$0.83 | 55% 51660-42833 (94493) |
AS
asdcaxz<$100Invested
$42.16
Value
$51.43
PnL
+$9.27
Record
47%
6525-7238 (13763)
BL
blue.birds<$100Invested
$24.24
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.76
Record
51%
12072-11547 (23619)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$14
Value
$14
PnL
-$0
Record
61%
98591-62582 (161173)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$7.93
Value
—
PnL
-$7.93
Record
61%
46076-29253 (75329)
HC
HcrystallashCTR<$100Invested
$8.11
Value
—
PnL
-$8.11
Record
30%
12164-28131 (40295)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$18.21
Value
—
PnL
-$18.21
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.83
Value
—
PnL
-$0.83
Record
55%
51660-42833 (94493)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbb148280...f782be
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1794007800