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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$923.97

Combined PnL

$5.06

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$859.56

Total Shares860

Combined PnL+$213.72

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares271

Combined PnL-$208.66

Up — 64%Down — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 58¢	$258.85	$420.5	+$161.65	59% 2978-2074 (5052)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$191.07	$193	+$1.93	89% 29224-3554 (32778)
PL ply-pm2CTR	Downavg 53.5¢	$113.8	—	-$113.8	51% 10467-9935 (20402)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 74.9¢	$122.14	$83.63	-$38.51	67% 102499-50810 (153309)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Downavg 47.7¢	$64.12	—	-$64.12	63% 60872-35320 (96192)
13 13897651ARB<$100	Downavg 49.8¢	$72.23	$64.41	-$7.81	56% 8747-6830 (15577)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$32.25	$64.41	+$32.17
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.8¢	$39.98	—	-$39.98
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 37.9¢	$54.29	$120.89	+$66.6	56% 77345-59726 (137071)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 44.7¢	$8.94	—	-$8.94	61% 46036-29200 (75236)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 34.7¢	$10.5	$16.1	+$5.6	56% 60478-47044 (107522)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 33.3¢	$6.65	$20	+$13.35	58% 63234-46452 (109686)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 43¢	$2.34	$5.44	+$3.1	63% 42391-25095 (67486)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 36.3¢	$21.8	—	-$21.8	49% 10571-11222 (21793)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$258.85

Value

$420.5

PnL

+$161.65

Record

59%

2978-2074 (5052)

Invested

$191.07

Value

$193

PnL

+$1.93

Record

89%

29224-3554 (32778)

Invested

$113.8

Value

—

PnL

-$113.8

Record

51%

10467-9935 (20402)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$122.14

Value

$83.63

PnL

-$38.51

Record

67%

102499-50810 (153309)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100

Invested

$64.12

Value

—

PnL

-$64.12

Record

63%

60872-35320 (96192)

13897651ARB<$100

Invested

$72.23

Value

$64.41

PnL

-$7.81

Record

56%

8747-6830 (15577)

Both legs:

Up$32.2550.1¢+$32.17

Down$39.9849.8¢-$39.98

uninformedfloww

Invested

$54.29

Value

$120.89

PnL

+$66.6

Record

56%

77345-59726 (137071)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$8.94

Value

—

PnL

-$8.94

Record

61%

46036-29200 (75236)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$10.5

Value

$16.1

PnL

+$5.6

Record

56%

60478-47044 (107522)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$6.65

Value

$20

PnL

+$13.35

Record

58%

63234-46452 (109686)

Invested

$2.34

Value

$5.44

PnL

+$3.1

Record

63%

42391-25095 (67486)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$21.8

Value

—

PnL

-$21.8

Record

49%

10571-11222 (21793)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb043b72f...f6619a

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1793994300

Traders in this Market

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $420.5

hoodquant

Up — $193

ply-pm2

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $83.63

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $0

13897651

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Up — $120.89

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $16.1

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $20

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