Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 55%
1 arb excluded
$1.3K
-$131.67
Smart Money Signal
6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 68.4¢ | $416.74 | $377.1 | -$39.64 | 67% 102458-50758 (153216) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 33.6¢ | $436.22 | $302.09 | -$134.14 | 56% 77327-59680 (137007) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 66¢ | $199.51 | $302.09 | +$102.58 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 33.6¢ | $236.71 | — | -$236.71 | |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $330.17 | $336 | +$5.83 | 89% 29171-3554 (32725) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 68.1¢ | $156.74 | $153.48 | -$3.26 | 51% 10412-9893 (20305) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $97.91 | — | -$97.91 | 59% 2969-2065 (5034) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 58.4¢ | $77.12 | $88.36 | +$11.23 | 56% 8722-6811 (15533) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 62.7¢ | $17.55 | $28 | +$10.45 | 68% 22477-10820 (33297) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $16.24 | $24.99 | +$8.75 | 49% 10541-11187 (21728) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.7¢ | $8.74 | — | -$8.74 | 63% 42374-25068 (67442) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 61% 46015-29175 (75190) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.54 | — | -$1.54 | 56% 60462-47011 (107473) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 53.8¢ | $13.98 | — | -$13.98 | 58% 63200-46432 (109632) |
Invested
$416.74
Value
$377.1
PnL
-$39.64
Record
67%
102458-50758 (153216)
Invested
$436.22
Value
$302.09
PnL
-$134.14
Record
56%
77327-59680 (137007)
Both legs:
Invested
$330.17
Value
$336
PnL
+$5.83
Record
89%
29171-3554 (32725)
Invested
$156.74
Value
$153.48
PnL
-$3.26
Record
51%
10412-9893 (20305)
Invested
$97.91
Value
—
PnL
-$97.91
Record
59%
2969-2065 (5034)
Invested
$77.12
Value
$88.36
PnL
+$11.23
Record
56%
8722-6811 (15533)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$17.55
Value
$28
PnL
+$10.45
Record
68%
22477-10820 (33297)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$16.24
Value
$24.99
PnL
+$8.75
Record
49%
10541-11187 (21728)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$8.74
Value
—
PnL
-$8.74
Record
63%
42374-25068 (67442)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
61%
46015-29175 (75190)
Invested
$1.54
Value
—
PnL
-$1.54
Record
56%
60462-47011 (107473)
Invested
$13.98
Value
—
PnL
-$13.98
Record
58%
63200-46432 (109632)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $377.1
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $336
ply-pm2
Down — $153.48
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp — $0
13897651
Down — $88.36
wowitsamazing
Down — $28
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $24.99
ohioism
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0