Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner

13 of 25 top Polymarket traders hold MOUZ (52%) · MOUZ at 51¢ · $47K held · ends Nov 7

MOUZ51¢BetBoom Team49¢Ends Sat, Nov 7, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

MOUZ

Consensus Traders

MOUZ 52%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$47.1K

Combined PnL

$-2.1K

Smart Money Entry

57¢ → 50.5¢

-11% since entry · 13 traders

Research grade

NeutralMOUZ at 51%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

MOUZ

13 of 25 top traders (52%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

MOUZ51%

BetBoom Team50%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BetBoom Team12 traders

Total Value$19.1K

Total Shares38,221

Combined PnL+$268.07

MOUZ13 traders

Total Value$23.3K

Total Shares44,433

Combined PnL$-2.4K

BetBoom Team — 48%MOUZ — 52%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RE redvinnyCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 49.5¢	$6.9K	$6.6K	-$213.71	75% 1625-538 (2163)
TH THEHIGHLIFECTR	BetBoom Teamavg 53¢	$5.9K	$5.9K	+$55.55	54% 2563-2198 (4761)
vtcchampion52	MOUZavg 48.8¢	$5.9K	$5.9K	+$21.34	48% 1171-1257 (2428)
CA caishenbaoyoufadacai888	MOUZavg 61¢	$6.0K	$5.2K	-$735.41	57% 697-529 (1226)
PO PourpelNourpelCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 46¢	$2.8K	$3.2K	+$438.87	53% 666-597 (1263)
RNGUzi	MOUZavg 61¢	$3.7K	$3.2K	-$449.99	50% 235-231 (466)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	MOUZavg 51.1¢	$3.0K	$2.9K	-$38.49	52% 14644-13309 (27953)
└ MOUZ leg	MOUZavg 51.1¢	$1.8K	$1.7K	-$73.4
└ BetBoom Team leg	BetBoom Teamavg 49.5¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$34.91
FK fkALG2FalconsTES	MOUZavg 50.8¢	$2.0K	$1.9K	-$172.64	57% 2123-1578 (3701)
minji	MOUZavg 63.2¢	$1.9K	$1.8K	-$50.34	52% 1910-1754 (3664)
DamwonChampions2026	MOUZavg 63.2¢	$2.1K	$1.7K	-$330.2	53% 2195-1945 (4140)
0xheavy888	MOUZavg 62¢	$2.0K	$1.6K	-$440.63	56% 8212-6519 (14731)
NS NS13CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 39¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	-$17.08	52% 440-406 (846)
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100	MOUZavg 61.8¢	$1.3K	$1.1K	-$150.23	57% 19420-14370 (33790)
└ MOUZ leg	MOUZavg 61.8¢	$901.07	$765.45	-$135.62
└ BetBoom Team leg	BetBoom Teamavg 49.3¢	$398.89	$384.28	-$14.62
FR frohp5CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 49.2¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	-$40.06	65% 2086-1125 (3211)
FE ferrariChampions2026ARB<$100	MOUZavg 51.8¢	$658.32	$639.09	-$19.23	42% 8117-11313 (19430)
└ MOUZ leg	MOUZavg 51.8¢	$418.37	$407.8	-$10.57
└ BetBoom Team leg	BetBoom Teamavg 51.4¢	$239.95	$231.29	-$8.67
HarryduboisCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 49.2¢	$541.73	$544.5	+$2.77	44% 181-226 (407)
VeryLucky888	MOUZavg 60¢	$600	$465	-$135	58% 47459-34244 (81703)
ZW zwaaan	MOUZavg 63.2¢	$407.6	$403.23	-$4.37	53% 143-128 (271)
CA calculate10	MOUZavg 51¢	$651	$400.75	-$27.14	54% 1327-1144 (2471)
PA papaebal	MOUZavg 61¢	$381.25	$390.63	+$9.38	48% 133-144 (277)
timebrotime	MOUZavg 61¢	$224.4	$171.06	-$53.34	67% 989-480 (1469)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 49.2¢	$164.15	$159.99	-$4.16	59% 6842-4846 (11688)
38 38791873984189CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 37.8¢	$97.15	$137.49	+$40.34	48% 62365-67229 (129594)
31 319113331313111	MOUZavg 57¢	$136.96	$114.43	-$22.53	51% 82-80 (162)
Future-Tarot-TraderCTR<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 52¢	$41.5	$41	-$0.5	64% 1279-728 (2007)

redvinnyCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$6,853.82

Value

$6.6K

PnL

-$213.71

Record

75%

1625-538 (2163)

THEHIGHLIFECTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$5,888.83

Value

$5.9K

PnL

+$55.55

Record

54%

2563-2198 (4761)

vtcchampion52

MOUZ

Invested

$5,874.83

Value

$5.9K

PnL

+$21.34

Record

48%

1171-1257 (2428)

caishenbaoyoufadacai888

MOUZ

Invested

$5,978.44

Value

$5.2K

PnL

-$735.41

Record

57%

697-529 (1226)

PourpelNourpelCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$2,773.49

Value

$3.2K

PnL

+$438.87

Record

53%

666-597 (1263)

RNGUzi

MOUZ

Invested

$3,659.96

Value

$3.2K

PnL

-$449.99

Record

50%

235-231 (466)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

MOUZ

Invested

$2,953.78

Value

$2.9K

PnL

-$38.49

Record

52%

14644-13309 (27953)

Both legs:

MOUZ$1,773.9751.1¢-$73.4

BetBoom Team$1,179.8149.5¢+$34.91

fkALG2FalconsTES

MOUZ

Invested

$2,032.88

Value

$1.9K

PnL

-$172.64

Record

57%

2123-1578 (3701)

minji

MOUZ

Invested

$1,895.34

Value

$1.8K

PnL

-$50.34

Record

52%

1910-1754 (3664)

DamwonChampions2026

MOUZ

Invested

$2,068.13

Value

$1.7K

PnL

-$330.2

Record

53%

2195-1945 (4140)

0xheavy888

MOUZ

Invested

$2,036.25

Value

$1.6K

PnL

-$440.63

Record

56%

8212-6519 (14731)

NS13CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,241.98

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$17.08

Record

52%

440-406 (846)

BillBenter2026ARB<$100

MOUZ

Invested

$1,299.96

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$150.23

Record

57%

19420-14370 (33790)

Both legs:

MOUZ$901.0761.8¢-$135.62

BetBoom Team$398.8949.3¢-$14.62

frohp5CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,128.6

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$40.06

Record

65%

2086-1125 (3211)

ferrariChampions2026ARB<$100

MOUZ

Invested

$658.32

Value

$639.09

PnL

-$19.23

Record

42%

8117-11313 (19430)

Both legs:

MOUZ$418.3751.8¢-$10.57

BetBoom Team$239.9551.4¢-$8.67

HarryduboisCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$541.73

Value

$544.5

PnL

+$2.77

Record

44%

181-226 (407)

VeryLucky888

MOUZ

Invested

$600

Value

$465

PnL

-$135

Record

58%

47459-34244 (81703)

zwaaan

MOUZ

Invested

$407.6

Value

$403.23

PnL

-$4.37

Record

53%

143-128 (271)

calculate10

MOUZ

Invested

$651

Value

$400.75

PnL

-$27.14

Record

54%

1327-1144 (2471)

papaebal

MOUZ

Invested

$381.25

Value

$390.63

PnL

+$9.38

Record

48%

133-144 (277)

timebrotime

MOUZ

Invested

$224.4

Value

$171.06

PnL

-$53.34

Record

67%

989-480 (1469)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$164.15

Value

$159.99

PnL

-$4.16

Record

59%

6842-4846 (11688)

38791873984189CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$97.15

Value

$137.49

PnL

+$40.34

Record

48%

62365-67229 (129594)

319113331313111

MOUZ

Invested

$136.96

Value

$114.43

PnL

-$22.53

Record

51%

82-80 (162)

Future-Tarot-TraderCTR<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$41.5

Value

$41

PnL

-$0.5

Record

64%

1279-728 (2007)

Research grade

NeutralMOUZ at 51%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

MOUZ

13 of 25 top traders (52%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that MOUZ wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance52.7%

50.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$89.58

Max Loss

-$100.00

189.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.