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No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #641 · no open consensus position
0x2d395d11...f3a06053Polymarket
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #641
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
Specialties
870 settled consensus markets · held side won 54% at an average entry of 50¢- Esports
+4 pts
side won 54% of 866 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +5%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 4% of 255)
- 30–50¢: 18%(won 31% of 155)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 82% of 205)
- 70¢ and up: 29%(won 96% of 255)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.