Consensus PnL $84K · win rate 58% (599–426, n=1025) · was PM monthly #503 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$84.2K
Record
599W / 426L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 1025 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1242
Source
PM monthly #503
Trades
210
Markets
1,205
Volume
$6.7M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON $3.5K · now 100¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (55% of 107)
Specialties
975 settled consensus markets · held side won 59% at an average entry of 57¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where aqzfssqkqzbcbr1994's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: NBA — held side won 44% of 34 at an average 53¢ entry (−9 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 19% of 90)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 37% of 242)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 61% of 352)
- 70¢ and up: 30%(won 86% of 291)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.