Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 50%
$2.1K
-$619.64
Smart Money Signal
14 of 27 top traders (52%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds | Downavg 80.1¢ | $510.68 | $465.49 | -$45.19 | 51% 12360-11859 (24219) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Upavg 34.9¢ | $569.93 | — | -$569.93 | 55% 9938-8254 (18192) |
AL almach | Downavg 56.6¢ | $165.42 | $292.13 | +$126.71 | 55% 50273-41876 (92149) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 61.2¢ | $286.23 | $279.6 | -$6.63 | 66% 101181-52990 (154171) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 80.5¢ | $233.41 | $241.91 | +$8.5 | 48% 6887-7490 (14377) |
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489 | Downavg 87.9¢ | $158.29 | $179.99 | +$21.7 | 75% 295-99 (394) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $242.55 | $169.39 | -$73.16 | 50% 6436-6457 (12893) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 31.7¢ | $141.2 | — | -$141.2 | 55% 15067-12471 (27538) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 50.4¢ | $91.13 | $120 | +$28.87 | 54% 13761-11752 (25513) |
BY ByteBadger93 | Downavg 70.7¢ | $168.62 | $238.53 | +$69.91 | 55% 1746-1424 (3170) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a<$100 | Downavg 80.9¢ | $68.08 | $84.11 | +$16.03 | 52% 2180-1978 (4158) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $53 | $40 | -$13 | 61% 46285-29472 (75757) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.1¢ | $40.52 | — | -$40.52 | 53% 10527-9523 (20050) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $8.9 | $10 | +$1.1 | 52% 21295-19590 (40885) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $5 | $5.95 | +$0.95 | 65% 114804-61868 (176672) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Upavg 35.4¢ | $153.14 | — | -$153.14 | 54% 16644-14090 (30734) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.1¢ | $31.39 | — | -$31.39 | 55% 51803-42237 (94040) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.2¢ | $67.39 | — | -$67.39 | 55% 52460-42905 (95365) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 22.6¢ | $25.11 | — | -$25.11 | 56% 60779-47271 (108050) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $8.3 | — | -$8.3 | 49% 4268-4361 (8629) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.5¢ | $24.36 | — | -$24.36 | 63% 42627-25355 (67982) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $30.68 | — | -$30.68 | 58% 63507-46701 (110208) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.4¢ | $6.85 | — | -$6.85 | 52% 10639-9975 (20614) |
 NIULAI4CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 75% 9961-3335 (13296) |
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100 | Downavg 95.3¢ | $20.06 | — | +$178.39 | 59% 6954-4900 (11854) |
Invested
$510.68
Value
$465.49
PnL
-$45.19
Record
51%
12360-11859 (24219)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$569.93
Value
—
PnL
-$569.93
Record
55%
9938-8254 (18192)
Invested
$165.42
Value
$292.13
PnL
+$126.71
Record
55%
50273-41876 (92149)
Invested
$286.23
Value
$279.6
PnL
-$6.63
Record
66%
101181-52990 (154171)
Invested
$233.41
Value
$241.91
PnL
+$8.5
Record
48%
6887-7490 (14377)
Invested
$158.29
Value
$179.99
PnL
+$21.7
Record
75%
295-99 (394)
Invested
$242.55
Value
$169.39
PnL
-$73.16
Record
50%
6436-6457 (12893)
Invested
$141.2
Value
—
PnL
-$141.2
Record
55%
15067-12471 (27538)
FairValueMachineInvested
$91.13
Value
$120
PnL
+$28.87
Record
54%
13761-11752 (25513)
Invested
$168.62
Value
$238.53
PnL
+$69.91
Record
55%
1746-1424 (3170)
Invested
$68.08
Value
$84.11
PnL
+$16.03
Record
52%
2180-1978 (4158)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$53
Value
$40
PnL
-$13
Record
61%
46285-29472 (75757)
Invested
$40.52
Value
—
PnL
-$40.52
Record
53%
10527-9523 (20050)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100Invested
$8.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.1
Record
52%
21295-19590 (40885)
Invested
$5
Value
$5.95
PnL
+$0.95
Record
65%
114804-61868 (176672)
Invested
$153.14
Value
—
PnL
-$153.14
Record
54%
16644-14090 (30734)
Invested
$31.39
Value
—
PnL
-$31.39
Record
55%
51803-42237 (94040)
Invested
$67.39
Value
—
PnL
-$67.39
Record
55%
52460-42905 (95365)
Invested
$25.11
Value
—
PnL
-$25.11
Record
56%
60779-47271 (108050)
Invested
$8.3
Value
—
PnL
-$8.3
Record
49%
4268-4361 (8629)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$24.36
Value
—
PnL
-$24.36
Record
63%
42627-25355 (67982)
Invested
$30.68
Value
—
PnL
-$30.68
Record
58%
63507-46701 (110208)
Invested
$6.85
Value
—
PnL
-$6.85
Record
52%
10639-9975 (20614)
NIULAI4CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
75%
9961-3335 (13296)
Invested
$20.06
Value
—
PnL
+$178.39
Record
59%
6954-4900 (11854)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
blue.birds
Down — $465.49
machinelearned
CTRUp — $0
almach
Down — $292.13
Bonereaper
Down — $279.6
asdcaxz
Down — $241.91
0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489
Down — $179.99
ply-pm0
Down — $169.39
GoodFallen
CTRUp — $0
FairValueMachine
Down — $120
ByteBadger93
Down — $238.53