Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Up 53%
$2.1K
-$42.34
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 86.4¢ | $955.93 | $999.54 | +$43.61 | 48% 6887-7490 (14377) |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 76.3¢ | $519.25 | $561.73 | +$42.48 | 59% 11420-7847 (19267) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $226.75 | $240.16 | +$13.41 | 50% 6436-6457 (12893) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 83.7¢ | $139.09 | $140.01 | +$0.92 | 55% 15067-12471 (27538) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 84.7¢ | $82.5 | $97.37 | +$14.87 | 58% 63507-46701 (110208) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.7¢ | $18.44 | — | -$18.44 | 64% 5030-2825 (7855) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 85.7¢ | $25.7 | $30 | +$4.3 | 55% 52018-43125 (95143) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9aCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.5¢ | $2.91 | — | -$2.91 | 52% 2180-1978 (4158) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Upavg 80.5¢ | $12.88 | $16 | +$3.12 | 53% 10527-9523 (20050) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $5.82 | $6 | +$0.18 | 89% 29663-3561 (33224) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $40.64 | — | -$40.64 | 55% 9938-8254 (18192) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.8¢ | $36 | — | -$36 | 55% 52460-42905 (95365) |
 BossgirlCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.3¢ | $8.47 | — | -$8.47 | 54% 4793-4035 (8828) |
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.4¢ | $9.25 | — | -$9.25 | 59% 6954-4900 (11854) |
BY ByteBadger93CTR<$100 | Downavg 8.1¢ | $7.42 | — | -$7.42 | 55% 1746-1424 (3170) |
TH THG. | Upavg 98.9¢ | $3.4K | — | +$38.42 | 56% 30456-23661 (54117) |
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489CTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $80.52 | — | -$80.52 | 75% 295-99 (394) |
Invested
$955.93
Value
$999.54
PnL
+$43.61
Record
48%
6887-7490 (14377)
Invested
$519.25
Value
$561.73
PnL
+$42.48
Record
59%
11420-7847 (19267)
Invested
$226.75
Value
$240.16
PnL
+$13.41
Record
50%
6436-6457 (12893)
Invested
$139.09
Value
$140.01
PnL
+$0.92
Record
55%
15067-12471 (27538)
Invested
$82.5
Value
$97.37
PnL
+$14.87
Record
58%
63507-46701 (110208)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$18.44
Value
—
PnL
-$18.44
Record
64%
5030-2825 (7855)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$25.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$4.3
Record
55%
52018-43125 (95143)
Invested
$2.91
Value
—
PnL
-$2.91
Record
52%
2180-1978 (4158)
Invested
$12.88
Value
$16
PnL
+$3.12
Record
53%
10527-9523 (20050)
Invested
$5.82
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.18
Record
89%
29663-3561 (33224)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$40.64
Value
—
PnL
-$40.64
Record
55%
9938-8254 (18192)
Invested
$36
Value
—
PnL
-$36
Record
55%
52460-42905 (95365)
BossgirlCTR<$100Invested
$8.47
Value
—
PnL
-$8.47
Record
54%
4793-4035 (8828)
Invested
$9.25
Value
—
PnL
-$9.25
Record
59%
6954-4900 (11854)
Invested
$7.42
Value
—
PnL
-$7.42
Record
55%
1746-1424 (3170)
Invested
$3,449.58
Value
—
PnL
+$38.42
Record
56%
30456-23661 (54117)
Invested
$80.52
Value
—
PnL
-$80.52
Record
75%
295-99 (394)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
asdcaxz
Up — $999.54
1000monkeys
Up — $561.73
ply-pm0
Up — $240.16
GoodFallen
Up — $140.01
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $97.37
Atomforge
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $30
0xdc27...afdd9a
CTRDown — $0
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335
Up — $16
hoodquant
Up — $6