Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 68%

Total Value

$16.0K

Combined PnL

$143.97

Smart Money Signal

Down

26 of 39 top traders (67%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down26 traders

Total Value$16.0K

Total Shares16,014

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Up13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,235

Combined PnL-$973.87

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
OX oxe78sh4w98	Downavg 59.2¢	$3.9K	$2.0K	$-1.8K	53% 626-550 (1176)
AD adururu	Downavg 65.4¢	$1.2K	$1.8K	+$629.96	53% 408-359 (767)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 40.6¢	$1.3K	$1.6K	+$337.96	56% 77627-59916 (137543)
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489	Downavg 56.7¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	-$8.95	75% 295-99 (394)
machinelearned	Downavg 62.4¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	-$27.93	55% 9938-8254 (18192)
BL blue.birds	Downavg 65.4¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$12.64	51% 12360-11859 (24219)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 64.6¢	$787.41	$788.52	+$1.12	50% 6436-6457 (12893)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 64¢	$862.07	$763.69	-$98.38	54% 16644-14090 (30734)
BY ByteBadger93	Downavg 66.1¢	$1.1K	$696.71	+$974.64	55% 1746-1424 (3170)
cryingbabydicer87	Downavg 99¢	$554.62	$560.22	+$5.6	49% 10731-11375 (22106)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 62.8¢	$509.08	$522.08	+$12.99	55% 15067-12471 (27538)
Bossgirl	Downavg 59.6¢	$236.72	$397.48	+$160.76	54% 4793-4035 (8828)
MO mo-money	Downavg 64.8¢	$363.01	$382	+$18.99	55% 52460-42905 (95365)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Downavg 94.7¢	$377.01	$353.07	-$23.94	65% 130645-70397 (201042)
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a	Downavg 59.7¢	$330.66	$343.31	+$753.8	52% 2180-1978 (4158)
BO bosona	Downavg 58.8¢	$306.79	$328	+$21.21	55% 51803-42237 (94040)
AL almach	Downavg 72.3¢	$323.86	$300	-$23.86	55% 50273-41876 (92149)
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 68.3¢	$259.78	$287.78	+$28	48% 6887-7490 (14377)
BoneOhio	Downavg 79¢	$181.34	$224.99	+$43.66	74% 105203-37122 (142325)
FairValueMachineCTR	Upavg 40¢	$259.27	—	-$259.27	54% 13761-11752 (25513)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 42.6¢	$79.6	$187	+$107.4	58% 39954-28898 (68852)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR	Upavg 40.1¢	$210.35	—	-$210.35	52% 21295-19590 (40885)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Downavg 57.6¢	$111.82	$104.68	-$7.13	52% 10639-9975 (20614)
PA Papeasy<$100	Downavg 84.6¢	$77.68	$91.84	+$14.15	49% 4268-4361 (8629)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 96.1¢	$80.76	$75	-$5.76	63% 42627-25355 (67982)

oxe78sh4w98

Down

Invested

$3,915.58

Value

$2.0K

PnL

$-1.8K

Record

53%

626-550 (1176)

adururu

Down

Invested

$1,188.4

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$629.96

Record

53%

408-359 (767)

uninformedfloww

Down

Invested

$1,284.79

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$337.96

Record

56%

77627-59916 (137543)

0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489

Down

Invested

$1,598.95

Value

$1.6K

PnL

-$8.95

Record

75%

295-99 (394)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$1,445.06

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$27.93

Record

55%

9938-8254 (18192)

blue.birds

Down

Invested

$1,095.94

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$12.64

Record

51%

12360-11859 (24219)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$787.41

Value

$788.52

PnL

+$1.12

Record

50%

6436-6457 (12893)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$862.07

Value

$763.69

PnL

-$98.38

Record

54%

16644-14090 (30734)

ByteBadger93

Down

Invested

$1,093.45

Value

$696.71

PnL

+$974.64

Record

55%

1746-1424 (3170)

cryingbabydicer87

Down

Invested

$554.62

Value

$560.22

PnL

+$5.6

Record

49%

10731-11375 (22106)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$509.08

Value

$522.08

PnL

+$12.99

Record

55%

15067-12471 (27538)

Bossgirl

Down

Invested

$236.72

Value

$397.48

PnL

+$160.76

Record

54%

4793-4035 (8828)

mo-money

Down

Invested

$363.01

Value

$382

PnL

+$18.99

Record

55%

52460-42905 (95365)

drfc4eybh7i8

Down

Invested

$377.01

Value

$353.07

PnL

-$23.94

Record

65%

130645-70397 (201042)

0xdc27...afdd9a

Down

Invested

$330.66

Value

$343.31

PnL

+$753.8

Record

52%

2180-1978 (4158)

bosona

Down

Invested

$306.79

Value

$328

PnL

+$21.21

Record

55%

51803-42237 (94040)

almach

Down

Invested

$323.86

Value

$300

PnL

-$23.86

Record

55%

50273-41876 (92149)

asdcaxz

Down

Invested

$259.78

Value

$287.78

PnL

+$28

Record

48%

6887-7490 (14377)

BoneOhio

Down

Invested

$181.34

Value

$224.99

PnL

+$43.66

Record

74%

105203-37122 (142325)

FairValueMachineCTR

Invested

$259.27

Value

—

PnL

-$259.27

Record

54%

13761-11752 (25513)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down

Invested

$79.6

Value

$187

PnL

+$107.4

Record

58%

39954-28898 (68852)

x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR

Invested

$210.35

Value

—

PnL

-$210.35

Record

52%

21295-19590 (40885)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Down

Invested

$111.82

Value

$104.68

PnL

-$7.13

Record

52%

10639-9975 (20614)

Papeasy<$100

Down

Invested

$77.68

Value

$91.84

PnL

+$14.15

Record

49%

4268-4361 (8629)

ohioism<$100

Down

Invested

$80.76

Value

$75

PnL

-$5.76

Record

63%

42627-25355 (67982)

Smart Money Signal

Down

26 of 39 top traders (67%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x211e7155...807ad7

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794104700

Traders in this Market

oxe78sh4w98

Down — $2.0K

$-1.8K

adururu

Down — $1.8K

+$629.96

uninformedfloww

Down — $1.6K

+$337.96

0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489

Down — $1.6K

-$8.95

machinelearned

Down — $1.4K

-$27.93

blue.birds

Down — $1.1K

+$12.64

ply-pm0

Down — $788.52

+$1.12

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $763.69

-$98.38

ByteBadger93

Down — $696.71

+$974.64

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $560.22

+$5.6

Trade on Polymarket