Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 89%

Total Value

$17.5K

Combined PnL

$502.2

Smart Money Signal

33 of 38 top traders (87%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up33 traders

Total Value$17.5K

Total Shares17,527

Combined PnL+$517.75

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares293

Combined PnL-$15.55

Up — 87%Down — 13%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
76 76marsh	Upavg 98.4¢	$4.0K	$4.0K	+$62.46	— 0-9 (9)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$3.0K	$3.0K	+$30	74% 105030-37065 (142095)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 91.7¢	$1.9K	$2.0K	+$47.39	66% 101003-52901 (153904)
Atomforge	Upavg 96.8¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$6.75	64% 4928-2789 (7717)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 90¢	$965.16	$976.61	+$11.45	51% 12016-11488 (23504)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$666.89	$673.63	+$6.74	56% 30385-23643 (54028)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 84.3¢	$562.77	$557.89	-$4.89	56% 15897-12509 (28406)
BO bosona	Upavg 94.7¢	$489.89	$504.05	+$14.16	55% 51582-41991 (93573)
AL almach	Upavg 95¢	$484.65	$500	+$15.35	55% 50158-41764 (91922)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 88.5¢	$515.45	$476.93	+$19.16	63% 60872-35320 (96192)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 82.8¢	$408.03	$446.3	+$38.27	59% 11247-7714 (18961)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.2¢	$422.27	$430	+$7.73	89% 29224-3554 (32778)
MO mo-money	Upavg 87¢	$363.46	$404.88	+$41.43	55% 52205-42636 (94841)
pspspsps5	Upavg 83.5¢	$340.49	$386.2	+$45.71	45% 40037-47965 (88002)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 91.1¢	$324.19	$355.86	+$31.67	53% 10413-9421 (19834)
machinelearned	Upavg 83.2¢	$249.41	$282.41	+$33	55% 9813-8139 (17952)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 79.6¢	$198.56	$249.46	+$50.9	51% 17644-17047 (34691)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 95.3¢	$234.72	$200	-$34.72	50% 6263-6235 (12498)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 89.3¢	$133.41	$137.32	+$3.91	47% 6472-7172 (13644)
PA Papeasy	Upavg 83.5¢	$107.75	$129.03	+$21.28	49% 4153-4260 (8413)
AS asdaefef	Upavg 90¢	$101.63	$108.06	+$6.43	66% 130579-67519 (198098)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Upavg 88.2¢	$239.98	$106.04	-$2.96	65% 130170-70085 (200255)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 57.9¢	$78.37	$91.5	+$13.13	57% 9900-7412 (17312)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 80.4¢	$81.43	$101.27	+$19.84	49% 80904-84349 (165253)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100	Upavg 79¢	$63.78	$80.74	+$16.95	52% 10524-9872 (20396)

76marsh

Invested

$3,960.61

Value

$4.0K

PnL

+$62.46

Record

—

0-9 (9)

BoneOhio

Invested

$2,970

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$30

Record

74%

105030-37065 (142095)

Bonereaper

Invested

$1,912.71

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$47.39

Record

66%

101003-52901 (153904)

Atomforge

Invested

$1,107.76

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$6.75

Record

64%

4928-2789 (7717)

blue.birds

Invested

$965.16

Value

$976.61

PnL

+$11.45

Record

51%

12016-11488 (23504)

THG.

Invested

$666.89

Value

$673.63

PnL

+$6.74

Record

56%

30385-23643 (54028)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$562.77

Value

$557.89

PnL

-$4.89

Record

56%

15897-12509 (28406)

bosona

Invested

$489.89

Value

$504.05

PnL

+$14.16

Record

55%

51582-41991 (93573)

almach

Invested

$484.65

Value

$500

PnL

+$15.35

Record

55%

50158-41764 (91922)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$515.45

Value

$476.93

PnL

+$19.16

Record

63%

60872-35320 (96192)

1000monkeys

Invested

$408.03

Value

$446.3

PnL

+$38.27

Record

59%

11247-7714 (18961)

hoodquant

Invested

$422.27

Value

$430

PnL

+$7.73

Record

89%

29224-3554 (32778)

mo-money

Invested

$363.46

Value

$404.88

PnL

+$41.43

Record

55%

52205-42636 (94841)

pspspsps5

Invested

$340.49

Value

$386.2

PnL

+$45.71

Record

45%

40037-47965 (88002)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$324.19

Value

$355.86

PnL

+$31.67

Record

53%

10413-9421 (19834)

machinelearned

Invested

$249.41

Value

$282.41

PnL

+$33

Record

55%

9813-8139 (17952)

gansinimen

Invested

$198.56

Value

$249.46

PnL

+$50.9

Record

51%

17644-17047 (34691)

ply-pm0

Invested

$234.72

Value

$200

PnL

-$34.72

Record

50%

6263-6235 (12498)

asdcaxz

Invested

$133.41

Value

$137.32

PnL

+$3.91

Record

47%

6472-7172 (13644)

Papeasy

Invested

$107.75

Value

$129.03

PnL

+$21.28

Record

49%

4153-4260 (8413)

asdaefef

Invested

$101.63

Value

$108.06

PnL

+$6.43

Record

66%

130579-67519 (198098)

drfc4eybh7i8

Invested

$239.98

Value

$106.04

PnL

-$2.96

Record

65%

130170-70085 (200255)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$78.37

Value

$91.5

PnL

+$13.13

Record

57%

9900-7412 (17312)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$81.43

Value

$101.27

PnL

+$19.84

Record

49%

80904-84349 (165253)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100

Invested

$63.78

Value

$80.74

PnL

+$16.95

Record

52%

10524-9872 (20396)

Smart Money Signal

33 of 38 top traders (87%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x02ab30a1...1a7d2d

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793997600

Traders in this Market

76marsh

Up — $4.0K

+$62.46

BoneOhio

Up — $3.0K

+$30

Bonereaper

Up — $2.0K

+$47.39

Atomforge

Up — $1.1K

+$6.75

blue.birds

Up — $976.61

+$11.45

THG.

Up — $673.63

+$6.74

CrouchPredictions

Up — $557.89

-$4.89

bosona

Up — $504.05

+$14.16

almach

Up — $500

+$15.35

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $476.93

+$19.16

Trade on Polymarket