Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Down 70%
$6.7K
$1.5K
Smart Money Signal
23 of 34 top traders (68%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 61¢ | $760.43 | $865.08 | +$104.65 | 54% 16542-13961 (30503) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 56.9¢ | $540.06 | $609.13 | +$69.07 | 50% 6263-6235 (12498) |
BO bosona | Downavg 32.1¢ | $200.71 | $610.31 | +$409.61 | 55% 51580-41990 (93570) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 51.6¢ | $476.01 | $560.17 | +$84.16 | 56% 15897-12507 (28404) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 68.3¢ | $545.95 | $537.39 | -$8.56 | 51% 11991-11459 (23450) |
AL almach | Downavg 26.9¢ | $141.19 | $509.23 | +$368.04 | 55% 50153-41761 (91914) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 42.2¢ | $180.66 | $428.59 | +$247.94 | 55% 9805-8128 (17933) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 53.6¢ | $378.91 | $378.07 | -$0.85 | 56% 8722-6811 (15533) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 81.6¢ | $304.04 | $305.71 | +$1.67 | 47% 6449-7132 (13581) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $138.82 | $273.43 | +$134.61 | 45% 40028-47949 (87977) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 57.6¢ | $256.3 | $265.04 | +$8.74 | 55% 14903-12392 (27295) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 60.1¢ | $268.54 | $264.47 | -$4.06 | 59% 11231-7705 (18936) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 49.3¢ | $115 | $229.53 | +$114.53 | 55% 52204-42636 (94840) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 51.9¢ | $180.5 | $204 | +$23.5 | 53% 10405-9413 (19818) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 60.9¢ | $123.73 | $135.75 | +$147.76 | 54% 13614-11674 (25288) |
 BoneOhioCTR | Upavg 77¢ | $115.48 | — | -$115.48 | 74% 105016-37056 (142072) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 49.1¢ | $64.78 | $115.62 | +$50.84 | 52% 21072-19227 (40299) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 29.4¢ | $34.06 | $102.39 | +$68.32 | 49% 80875-84321 (165196) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 61.6¢ | $75.79 | $97.69 | +$23.07 | 65% 130132-70051 (200183) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658 | Downavg 49¢ | $57.06 | $100 | +$42.94 | 52% 10518-9861 (20379) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85.2¢ | $82.74 | $97.12 | +$14.38 | 55% 51597-42791 (94388) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.7¢ | $65.79 | — | -$65.79 | 66% 130543-67485 (198028) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 59.4¢ | $67.86 | — | -$67.86 | 65% 114511-61547 (176058) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR | Upavg 70.2¢ | $152.41 | — | -$152.41 | 58% 63200-46432 (109632) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Upavg 55.7¢ | $38.58 | — | -$38.58 | 49% 4140-4255 (8395) |
Invested
$760.43
Value
$865.08
PnL
+$104.65
Record
54%
16542-13961 (30503)
Invested
$540.06
Value
$609.13
PnL
+$69.07
Record
50%
6263-6235 (12498)
Invested
$200.71
Value
$610.31
PnL
+$409.61
Record
55%
51580-41990 (93570)
Invested
$476.01
Value
$560.17
PnL
+$84.16
Record
56%
15897-12507 (28404)
Invested
$545.95
Value
$537.39
PnL
-$8.56
Record
51%
11991-11459 (23450)
Invested
$141.19
Value
$509.23
PnL
+$368.04
Record
55%
50153-41761 (91914)
machinelearnedInvested
$180.66
Value
$428.59
PnL
+$247.94
Record
55%
9805-8128 (17933)
Invested
$378.91
Value
$378.07
PnL
-$0.85
Record
56%
8722-6811 (15533)
Invested
$304.04
Value
$305.71
PnL
+$1.67
Record
47%
6449-7132 (13581)
pspspsps5Invested
$138.82
Value
$273.43
PnL
+$134.61
Record
45%
40028-47949 (87977)
Invested
$256.3
Value
$265.04
PnL
+$8.74
Record
55%
14903-12392 (27295)
Invested
$268.54
Value
$264.47
PnL
-$4.06
Record
59%
11231-7705 (18936)
Invested
$115
Value
$229.53
PnL
+$114.53
Record
55%
52204-42636 (94840)
Invested
$180.5
Value
$204
PnL
+$23.5
Record
53%
10405-9413 (19818)
FairValueMachineInvested
$123.73
Value
$135.75
PnL
+$147.76
Record
54%
13614-11674 (25288)
BoneOhioCTRInvested
$115.48
Value
—
PnL
-$115.48
Record
74%
105016-37056 (142072)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$64.78
Value
$115.62
PnL
+$50.84
Record
52%
21072-19227 (40299)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$34.06
Value
$102.39
PnL
+$68.32
Record
49%
80875-84321 (165196)
Invested
$75.79
Value
$97.69
PnL
+$23.07
Record
65%
130132-70051 (200183)
Invested
$57.06
Value
$100
PnL
+$42.94
Record
52%
10518-9861 (20379)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$82.74
Value
$97.12
PnL
+$14.38
Record
55%
51597-42791 (94388)
Invested
$65.79
Value
—
PnL
-$65.79
Record
66%
130543-67485 (198028)
Invested
$67.86
Value
—
PnL
-$67.86
Record
65%
114511-61547 (176058)
Invested
$152.41
Value
—
PnL
-$152.41
Record
58%
63200-46432 (109632)
Invested
$38.58
Value
—
PnL
-$38.58
Record
49%
4140-4255 (8395)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $865.08
ply-pm0
Down — $609.13
bosona
Down — $610.31
CrouchPredictions
Down — $560.17
blue.birds
Down — $537.39
almach
Down — $509.23
machinelearned
Down — $428.59
13897651
Down — $378.07
asdcaxz
Down — $305.71
pspspsps5
Down — $273.43