Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 59%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$9.0K

Combined PnL

-$974.21

Smart Money Signal

30 of 50 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed20 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up30 traders

Total Value$8.8K

Total Shares8,839

Combined PnL+$44.37

Down20 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,637

Combined PnL$-1.0K

Up — 60%Down — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 83.5¢	$1.0K	$886.41	-$158.47	56% 15085-11833 (26918)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 59.4¢	$891.93	$874.56	-$17.37	55% 15927-13256 (29183)
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359	Upavg 77.9¢	$910.63	$626.78	-$283.85	52% 9133-8595 (17728)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 82.6¢	$687.12	$585.37	-$101.75	50% 5727-5762 (11489)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 69.9¢	$607.26	$567.35	-$39.9	51% 10167-9750 (19917)
ST stepahead	Upavg 51.2¢	$545.94	$563.02	+$17.08	55% 8761-7282 (16043)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 57.4¢	$532.78	$545.04	+$12.26	53% 9220-8265 (17485)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 92.3¢	$548.42	$536.1	-$12.32	29% 11004-26846 (37850)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 59.6¢	$428.14	$419.98	-$8.16	60% 7816-5265 (13081)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 54.7¢	$360.95	$422.31	+$61.36	53% 17530-15791 (33321)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 63.6¢	$365.06	$407.43	+$42.37	56% 14156-11253 (25409)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 46.5¢	$232.53	$385.93	+$153.4	56% 12863-9909 (22772)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Upavg 52.8¢	$287.49	$447.42	+$159.93	52% 7507-6938 (14445)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 84.2¢	$231.21	$256.73	+$25.53	55% 7933-6479 (14412)
ohioism	Upavg 72.8¢	$141.2	$190	+$48.8	63% 40974-23588 (64562)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98¢	$172.34	$175.86	+$3.52	93% 24866-1838 (26704)
ST std0	Upavg 71.7¢	$145.56	$150.55	+$4.99	67% 53356-26743 (80099)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 73¢	$110.51	$150	+$39.49	56% 59008-45580 (104588)
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 41.1¢	$103.41	$126.18	+$22.77	48% 4685-5102 (9787)
└ Up leg	Upavg 41.1¢	$51.87	$126.18	+$74.31
└ Down leg	Downavg 21.5¢	$51.54	—	-$51.54
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 65.5¢	$134.04	$141.21	+$7.16	60% 12711-8474 (21185)
LI Little-bigCTR	Downavg 54.8¢	$102.51	—	-$102.51	35% 19300-36356 (55656)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894	Upavg 83.8¢	$145.87	$125.47	-$20.4	65% 15134-8146 (23280)
machinelearnedCTR	Downavg 32¢	$184.49	—	-$184.49	55% 9108-7524 (16632)
BoneOhio	Upavg 73¢	$109.5	$150	+$40.5	74% 103593-36655 (140248)
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670CTR	Downavg 38.2¢	$111.84	—	-$111.84	52% 13109-11920 (25029)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$1,044.88

Value

$886.41

PnL

-$158.47

Record

56%

15085-11833 (26918)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$891.93

Value

$874.56

PnL

-$17.37

Record

55%

15927-13256 (29183)

0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359

Invested

$910.63

Value

$626.78

PnL

-$283.85

Record

52%

9133-8595 (17728)

ply-pm0

Invested

$687.12

Value

$585.37

PnL

-$101.75

Record

50%

5727-5762 (11489)

blue.birds

Invested

$607.26

Value

$567.35

PnL

-$39.9

Record

51%

10167-9750 (19917)

stepahead

Invested

$545.94

Value

$563.02

PnL

+$17.08

Record

55%

8761-7282 (16043)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$532.78

Value

$545.04

PnL

+$12.26

Record

53%

9220-8265 (17485)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$548.42

Value

$536.1

PnL

-$12.32

Record

29%

11004-26846 (37850)

1000monkeys

Invested

$428.14

Value

$419.98

PnL

-$8.16

Record

60%

7816-5265 (13081)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$360.95

Value

$422.31

PnL

+$61.36

Record

53%

17530-15791 (33321)

GoodFallen

Invested

$365.06

Value

$407.43

PnL

+$42.37

Record

56%

14156-11253 (25409)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$232.53

Value

$385.93

PnL

+$153.4

Record

56%

12863-9909 (22772)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Invested

$287.49

Value

$447.42

PnL

+$159.93

Record

52%

7507-6938 (14445)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$231.21

Value

$256.73

PnL

+$25.53

Record

55%

7933-6479 (14412)

ohioism

Invested

$141.2

Value

$190

PnL

+$48.8

Record

63%

40974-23588 (64562)

hoodquant

Invested

$172.34

Value

$175.86

PnL

+$3.52

Record

93%

24866-1838 (26704)

std0

Invested

$145.56

Value

$150.55

PnL

+$4.99

Record

67%

53356-26743 (80099)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$110.51

Value

$150

PnL

+$39.49

Record

56%

59008-45580 (104588)

asdcaxzARB<$100

Invested

$103.41

Value

$126.18

PnL

+$22.77

Record

48%

4685-5102 (9787)

Both legs:

Up$51.8741.1¢+$74.31

Down$51.5421.5¢-$51.54

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$134.04

Value

$141.21

PnL

+$7.16

Record

60%

12711-8474 (21185)

Little-bigCTR

Down

Invested

$102.51

Value

—

PnL

-$102.51

Record

35%

19300-36356 (55656)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894

Invested

$145.87

Value

$125.47

PnL

-$20.4

Record

65%

15134-8146 (23280)

machinelearnedCTR

Down

Invested

$184.49

Value

—

PnL

-$184.49

Record

55%

9108-7524 (16632)

BoneOhio

Invested

$109.5

Value

$150

PnL

+$40.5

Record

74%

103593-36655 (140248)

0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670CTR

Down

Invested

$111.84

Value

—

PnL

-$111.84

Record

52%

13109-11920 (25029)

Smart Money Signal

30 of 50 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed20 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x0ce9cec0...3cc259

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793628900

Traders in this Market

CrouchPredictions

Up — $886.41

-$158.47

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $874.56

-$17.37

0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359

Up — $626.78

-$283.85

ply-pm0

Up — $585.37

-$101.75

blue.birds

Up — $567.35

-$39.9

stepahead

Up — $563.02

+$17.08

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Up — $545.04

+$12.26

Hcrystallash

Up — $536.1

-$12.32

1000monkeys

Up — $419.98

-$8.16

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Up — $422.31

+$61.36

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